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Gillingham
League Two | Gameweek 26
Feb 25, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
Priestfield Stadium (Gillingham, Kent)
Fleetwood Town

Gillingham
1 - 2
Fleetwood

Nevitt (39')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Helm (45'), Graydon (50')
Rooney (33'), Bennett (66'), Neal (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Gillingham and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Carlisle 0-0 Gillingham
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Grimsby Town 2-1 Fleetwood
Saturday, February 22 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.

Result
GillinghamDrawFleetwood Town
39.34% (1.095 1.1)28.23% (-0.147 -0.15)32.44% (-0.949 -0.95)
Both teams to score 46.7% (0.223 0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.59% (0.366 0.37)59.42% (-0.366 -0.37)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.21% (0.281 0.28)79.79% (-0.28099999999999 -0.28)
Gillingham Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.58% (0.83 0.83)29.42% (-0.832 -0.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.59% (1.005 1.01)65.41% (-1.006 -1.01)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.16% (-0.47 -0.47)33.84% (0.471 0.47)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.5% (-0.51 -0.51)70.5% (0.51000000000001 0.51)
Score Analysis
    Gillingham 39.34%
    Fleetwood Town 32.43%
    Draw 28.22%
GillinghamDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 12.18% (0.12 0.12)
2-1 @ 8.07% (0.154 0.15)
2-0 @ 7.45% (0.236 0.24)
3-1 @ 3.29% (0.136 0.14)
3-0 @ 3.04% (0.163 0.16)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.052 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.063 0.06)
4-0 @ 0.93% (0.07 0.07)
Other @ 1.58%
Total : 39.34%
1-1 @ 13.19% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
0-0 @ 9.96% (-0.135 -0.14)
2-2 @ 4.38% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.22%
0-1 @ 10.78% (-0.29 -0.29)
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-2 @ 5.84% (-0.235 -0.23)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.077 -0.08)
0-3 @ 2.11% (-0.113 -0.11)
2-3 @ 1.58% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 32.43%

How you voted: Gillingham vs Fleetwood

Gillingham
40.0%
Draw
50.0%
Fleetwood Town
10.0%
10
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Fleetwood
0-0
Gillingham
Helm (11'), Holgate (80')
Little (29'), Ehmer (38'), Rowe (90+1')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 44
Gillingham
0-0
Fleetwood
Lee (7'), Ehmer (17'), Tucker (90+5')
Kelman (78')
Lane (78')
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 22
Fleetwood
2-1
Gillingham
Biggins (38'), Clarke (65')
Biggins (90+7')
McKenzie (74')
Phillips (65'), Tutonda (90')
Mar 9, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 35
Fleetwood
1-0
Gillingham
Vassell (2' pen.)
Vassell (90+3')

O'Keefe (90+3'), Oliver (90+5')
Oct 24, 2020 1pm
Gameweek 8
Gillingham
0-2
Fleetwood

Ogilvie (17'), Akinde (41'), Samuel (70'), Graham (90+4')
Ogilvie (83')
Madden (66'), Evans (90+3')
Matete (87')