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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 28.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.07%) and 2-0 (7.45%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (10.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Fleetwood Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Gillingham | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 39.34% ( | 28.23% ( | 32.44% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.7% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.59% ( | 59.42% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.21% ( | 79.79% ( |
| Gillingham Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.58% ( | 29.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.59% ( | 65.41% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.16% ( | 33.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.5% ( | 70.5% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Gillingham | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 12.18% ( 2-1 @ 8.07% ( 2-0 @ 7.45% ( 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 3-2 @ 1.78% ( 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 4-0 @ 0.93% ( Other @ 1.58% Total : 39.34% | 1-1 @ 13.19% ( 0-0 @ 9.96% ( 2-2 @ 4.38% ( Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.22% | 0-1 @ 10.78% ( 1-2 @ 7.15% ( 0-2 @ 5.84% ( 1-3 @ 2.58% ( 0-3 @ 2.11% ( 2-3 @ 1.58% ( Other @ 2.38% Total : 32.43% |