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Grimsby Town
League Two | Gameweek 33
Feb 22, 2025 at 3pm UK
Blundell Park
Fleetwood Town

Grimsby Town
2 - 1
Fleetwood

McEachran (23'), Rose (64')
Wilson (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Graydon (61')
Bennett (40'), Mayor (45+2'), Graydon (60'), Wiredu (63'), Rooney (66'), Bolton (90+4')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Grimsby Town and Fleetwood Town.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Doncaster 1-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, February 15 at 12.30pm in League Two
Last Game: Fleetwood 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, February 18 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawFleetwood Town
43.77% (-0.144 -0.14)26.67% (0.024000000000001 0.02)29.55% (0.123 0.12)
Both teams to score 50.14% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.47% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)54.53% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.12% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)75.88% (0.039000000000001 0.04)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.26% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)24.74% (0.093 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.7% (-0.128 -0.13)59.3% (0.131 0.13)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.63% (0.069000000000003 0.07)33.37% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30% (0.073999999999998 0.07)69.99% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 43.77%
    Fleetwood Town 29.55%
    Draw 26.67%
Grimsby TownDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 11.53% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 8.84% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 8.05% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-1 @ 4.12% (-0.018 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.75% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.26% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.31% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 43.77%
1-1 @ 12.65% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 8.26% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.85%
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 9.06% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.95% (0.019 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.97% (0.027 0.03)
1-3 @ 2.54% (0.012 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.82% (0.013 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 29.55%

Head to Head
Aug 10, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 1
Fleetwood
1-0
Grimsby Town
Helm (18')

Rodgers (27'), Davies (69'), Khouri (90+3')