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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 43.77%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 29.55% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.84%) and 2-0 (8.05%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 0-1 (9.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Grimsby Town would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 43.77% ( | 26.67% ( | 29.55% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.14% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.47% ( | 54.53% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.12% ( | 75.88% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.26% ( | 24.74% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.7% ( | 59.3% ( |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.63% ( | 33.37% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30% ( | 69.99% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Fleetwood Town |
| 1-0 @ 11.53% ( 2-1 @ 8.84% ( 2-0 @ 8.05% ( 3-1 @ 4.12% ( 3-0 @ 3.75% ( 3-2 @ 2.26% ( 4-1 @ 1.44% ( 4-0 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 43.77% | 1-1 @ 12.65% ( 0-0 @ 8.26% ( 2-2 @ 4.85% Other @ 0.91% Total : 26.67% | 0-1 @ 9.06% ( 1-2 @ 6.95% ( 0-2 @ 4.97% ( 1-3 @ 2.54% ( 0-3 @ 1.82% ( 2-3 @ 1.77% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 29.55% |