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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Notts County | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 49.74% ( | 24.54% ( | 25.72% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.95% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.76% ( | 48.24% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.61% ( | 70.39% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.57% ( | 19.42% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.74% ( | 51.25% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.96% ( | 33.04% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.37% ( | 69.63% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Notts County | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 10.51% ( 2-1 @ 9.54% ( 2-0 @ 8.62% ( 3-1 @ 5.21% ( 3-0 @ 4.71% ( 3-2 @ 2.89% ( 4-1 @ 2.14% ( 4-0 @ 1.93% ( 4-2 @ 1.18% ( Other @ 3.01% Total : 49.73% | 1-1 @ 11.64% 0-0 @ 6.42% ( 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 3-3 @ 1.07% ( Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.54% | 0-1 @ 7.11% ( 1-2 @ 6.45% ( 0-2 @ 3.94% ( 1-3 @ 2.38% ( 2-3 @ 1.95% ( 0-3 @ 1.45% ( Other @ 2.44% Total : 25.72% |