League Two Gameweek 38
Mar 22, 2025 12.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Charlie Whitaker 38' yellowcard
  • Jacob Bedeau 45' yellowcard
  • George Abbott 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mickey Demetriou 83'

Notts County vs Crewe Alexandra - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
Notts County 1 - 2 Chesterfield
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alassana Jatta

Crewe Alexandra

All competitions
Last game
Mar 15, 2025 12.30pm
Crewe 1 - 1 Doncaster
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Jack Lankester

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 49.74%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 25.72% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.54%) and 2-0 (8.62%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (7.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood.

Result

Notts County 49.74% (-0.09)
Draw 24.54% (+0.02)
Crewe Alexandra 25.72% (+0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.95% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5 51.76% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 48.24% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 29.61% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 70.39% (-0.01)
Over 4.5 14.4% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 85.6% (-0.01)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 80.57% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 19.42% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 48.74% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 51.25% (+0.06)

Crewe Alexandra Goals

Over 0.5 66.96% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 33.04% (-0.07)
Over 1.5 30.37% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 69.63% (-0.08)

Score analysis

Notts County 49.73%
Draw 24.54%
Crewe Alexandra 25.72%
Notts County
1-0 @ 10.51% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.54% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.62% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.21% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.71% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.89% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.14% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 49.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.64%
0-0 @ 6.42% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.07% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.54%
Crewe Alexandra
0-1 @ 7.11% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 6.45% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.94% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.38% (+0.01)
2-3 @ 1.95% (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.45% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 25.72%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 16
Nov 16, 2024 3.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Shilow Tracey 40' goal
  • Matus Holicek 57' yellowcard
  • Ryan Cooney 62' goal
  • Ryan Cooney 64' yellowcard
  • Zac Williams 67' yellowcard
  • Filip Marshall 71' yellowcard
  • Max Sanders 75' yellowcard
  • Shilow Tracey 80' yellowcard
  • Chris Long 84' redcard
  • yellowcard Jacob Bedeau 3'
  • yellowcard Stuart Maynard 4'
League Two Gameweek 35
Feb 24, 2024 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
  • Luca Ashby-Hammond 18' yellowcard
  • John Bostock 53' yellowcard
  • Macaulay Langstaff 81' yellowcard
  • Jim O'Brien 83' goal
  • Alassana Jatta 90' yellowcard
  • goal Mickey Demetriou 5'
  • goal Elliott Nevitt 19'
  • yellowcard Charlie Kirk 27'
  • yellowcard Mickey Demetriou 53'
  • goal Josh Austerfield 77'
  • yellowcard Ed Turns 81'
  • yellowcard Rio Adebisi 88'
League Two Gameweek 17
Nov 11, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Alexandra Stadium
  • Luke Offord 14' yellowcard
  • Ryan Cooney 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Courtney Baker-Richardson 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Kyle Cameron 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Aiden Baldwin 50'
  • yellowcard Jim O'Brien 70'
  • yellowcard Jodi Jones 88'
  • yellowcard Will Randall 89'
League Two Gameweek 42
Apr 13, 2019 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Alexandra Stadium (Crewe, Cheshire)
  • Aaron Taylor-Sinclair 31' goal
  • Ryan Wintle 77' goal
  • James Jones 83' goal
  • yellowcard Kane Hemmings 43'
  • yellowcard Jim O'Brien 85'
League Two Gameweek 10
Sep 29, 2018 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Meadow Lane Stadium (Nottingham, Nottinghamshire)
  • Robert Milsom 5' goal
  • Robert Milsom 33' yellowcard
  • Elliott Hewitt 61' goal
  • goal Jordan Bowery 14'
League Two
Feb 3, 2018 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Noor Husin 15' goal
  • Elliott Hewitt 41' goal
  • Elliott Hewitt 60' goal
  • Noor Husin 65' yellowcard
  • Mason Bennett 89' goal
  • goal Shaun Miller 8'
  • yellowcard Eddie Nolan 43'