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Championship header 2

League Two

Notts County
League Two | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK
Meadow Lane Stadium
Chesterfield

Notts County
1 - 2
Chesterfield

Jarvis (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pepple (70'), Naylor (88')
Coverage of the League Two clash between Notts County and Chesterfield.

Form, Standings, Stats

Notts County

All competitions
Last Game: Grimsby Town 0-2 Notts County
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in League Two

Chesterfield

All competitions
Last Game: Salford City 0-4 Chesterfield
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 48.61%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.51%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Notts CountyDrawChesterfield
48.61% (0.032999999999994 0.03)24.17% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)27.21% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)
Both teams to score 56.49% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.49% (0.045999999999999 0.05)45.5% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.16% (0.042999999999999 0.04)67.83% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Notts County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.19% (0.031000000000006 0.03)18.81% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.76% (0.053000000000004 0.05)50.23% (-0.053999999999995 -0.05)
Chesterfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.57% (0.0069999999999908 0.01)30.42% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.37% (0.0080000000000027 0.01)66.62% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Notts County 48.62%
    Chesterfield 27.21%
    Draw 24.17%
Notts CountyDrawChesterfield
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.51% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 7.99%
3-1 @ 5.29% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.45% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 3.15% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 2.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.86% (0.004 0)
4-2 @ 1.32% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.28%
Total : 48.62%
1-1 @ 11.37% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.72% (-0.012 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.66% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.25% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 24.17%
0-1 @ 6.81% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.77% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-2 @ 4.05% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-3 @ 2.69% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.61% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 27.21%

Head to Head
Oct 12, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 11
Chesterfield
2-2
Notts County
Madden (6'), Grigg (74')
Metcalfe (64'), Banks (90'), Naylor (90+3')
Jatta (14'), McGoldrick (90+4')
Palmer (55'), Macarai (64'), Crowley (87')
> Preview
May 13, 2023 3.30pm
Chesterfield
2-2
Notts County
(Aggregate 2-2 | Notts County win 4-3 on penalties)
Dallas (6' pen.), Dobra (93')
Oldaker (57'), King (102'), Grimes (114')
Bostock (88'), Rodrigues (108')
Bostock (38'), Jones (96'), Mair (123')
> Match Report
Feb 11, 2023 5.20pm
Gameweek 28
Chesterfield
1-2
Notts County
Dobra (45+3')
Langstaff (25'), Chicksen (72')
Aug 20, 2022 5.20pm
Gameweek 4
Notts County
2-2
Chesterfield
Langstaff (60', 63')
O'Brien (37'), Rodrigues (64')
Mandeville (16'), Asante (55')
King (81'), (90+6')
Mar 26, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 37
Notts County
1-1
Chesterfield
Wootton (45+2' pen.)
Vincent (39'), Kelly-Evans (64'), Rawlinson (84')
Whittle (13')
King (55'), Weston (58'), Quigley (84')