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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Notts County win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Notts County |
| 41.55% ( | 26.02% ( | 32.43% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.42% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.11% ( | 50.89% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.24% ( | 72.76% ( |
| Grimsby Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.76% ( | 24.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.41% ( | 58.59% ( |
| Notts County Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.5% ( | 29.49% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.49% ( | 65.51% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Grimsby Town | Draw | Notts County |
| 1-0 @ 10.13% ( 2-1 @ 8.77% ( 2-0 @ 7.18% ( 3-1 @ 4.14% ( 3-0 @ 3.39% ( 3-2 @ 2.53% ( 4-1 @ 1.47% ( 4-0 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 41.55% | 1-1 @ 12.37% ( 0-0 @ 7.15% ( 2-2 @ 5.35% ( 3-3 @ 1.03% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.02% | 0-1 @ 8.73% ( 1-2 @ 7.55% ( 0-2 @ 5.33% ( 1-3 @ 3.07% ( 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0-3 @ 2.17% ( 1-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.46% Total : 32.43% |