League Two Gameweek 26
Grimsby Town
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Blundell Park
Notts County
  • Darragh Burns 71' yellowcard
  • goal Alassana Jatta 56'
  • goal David McGoldrick 88'
  • goal David McGoldrick 88'

Grimsby Town vs Notts County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 12.30pm
Walsall 1 - 3 Grimsby Town
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Danny Rose

Notts County

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 12.30pm
AFC Wimbledon 2 - 0 Notts County
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Alassana Jatta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Grimsby Town win with a probability of 41.55%. A win for Notts County had a probability of 32.43% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Grimsby Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (7.18%). The likeliest Notts County win was 0-1 (8.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Notts County would win this match.

Result

Grimsby Town 41.55% ▼ (-0.16)
Draw 26.02% ▲ (+0.06)
Notts County 32.43% ▲ (+0.11)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.42% ▼ (-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.11% ▼ (-0.19)
Under 2.5 50.89% ▲ (+0.20)
Over 3.5 27.24% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 3.5 72.76% ▲ (+0.18)
Over 4.5 12.8% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 4.5 87.2% ▲ (+0.12)

Grimsby Town Goals

Over 0.5 75.76% ▼ (-0.17)
Under 0.5 24.24% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 1.5 41.41% ▼ (-0.23)
Under 1.5 58.59% ▲ (+0.24)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5 70.5% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 0.5 29.49% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 1.5 34.49% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 1.5 65.51% ▲ (+0.04)

Score analysis

Grimsby Town 41.55%
Draw 26.02%
Notts County 32.43%
Grimsby Town
1-0 @ 10.13% ▲ (+0.04)
2-1 @ 8.77% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 7.18% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.03)
3-0 @ 3.39% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.03)
4-1 @ 1.47% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 41.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.37% ▲ (+0.03)
0-0 @ 7.15% ▲ (+0.06)
2-2 @ 5.35% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.03% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.02%
Notts County
0-1 @ 8.73% ▲ (+0.07)
1-2 @ 7.55% ▲ (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.33% ▲ (+0.04)
1-3 @ 3.07% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.17% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 32.43%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 3
Notts County
Aug 22, 2024 8.00pm
4
1
HT : 3 1
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
Grimsby Town
  • Alassana Jatta 6' goal
  • Dan Crowley 15' goal
  • Jacob Bedeau 29' yellowcard
  • Jodi Jones 45'+1' goal
  • Dan Crowley 57' goal
  • Alassana Jatta 65' yellowcard
  • goal Harvey Rodgers 45'+4'
  • yellowcard Kieran Green 67'
League Two Gameweek 28
Grimsby Town
Jan 13, 2024 3.00pm
5
5
HT : 2 2
FT Blundell Park
Notts County
  • Danny Rose 7' goal
  • Abo Eisa 15' goal
  • Harry Clifton 52' goal
  • Abo Eisa 62' goal
  • Harry Clifton 87' yellowcard
  • Harry Wood 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Aiden Baldwin 23'
  • goal David McGoldrick 39'
  • goal Macaulay Langstaff 45'
  • yellowcard Scott Robertson 45'+4'
  • goal Aaron Nemane 60'
  • goal Aaron Nemane 79'
  • yellowcard Jodi Jones 84'
  • goal David McGoldrick 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 2
Notts County
Aug 12, 2023 3.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
Grimsby Town
  • Matt Palmer 8' yellowcard
  • John Bostock 40' goal
  • Aaron Nemane 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Jodi Jones 50' goal
  • Dan Crowley 61' goal
  • Aiden Stone 89' yellowcard
  • Tobi Adebayo-Rowling 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Danny Rose 17'
  • yellowcard Anthony Glennon 24'
  • yellowcard Danny Rose 25'
  • yellowcard Harry Clifton 34'
  • goal Harry Clifton 45'+7'
  • yellowcard Kamil Conteh 64'
National League
Notts County
May 23, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT Meadow Lane Stadium
Grimsby Town
  • Jim O'Brien 38' yellowcard
  • Ruben Rodrigues 73' goal
  • Zak Brunt 100' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Clifton 43'
  • yellowcard Ryan Taylor 70'
  • yellowcard Luke Waterfall 85'
  • goal Gavan Holohan 90'+6'
  • goal Emmanuel Dieseruvwe 119'
National League Gameweek 28
Notts County
Feb 5, 2022 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Grimsby Town
  • Cal Roberts 15' goal
  • Ruben Rodrigues 30' yellowcard
  • Zak Brunt 32' yellowcard
  • Joel Taylor 79' yellowcard
  • Kyle Cameron 84' yellowcard
  • Alex Lacey 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Harry Clifton 52'
  • goal Ryan Taylor 76'
  • goal Luke Waterfall 90'
National League Gameweek 14
Grimsby Town
Oct 30, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Notts County
  • Alex Hunt 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ruben Rodrigues 45'
  • yellowcard Cal Roberts 54'
  • goal Ruben Rodrigues 90'
  • yellowcard Aaron Nemane 90'+1'

Form Data

Walsall 1 - 3 Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town 1 - 1 Tranmere
Cheltenham 1 - 1 Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town 2 - 1 Fleetwood
Doncaster 1 - 2 Grimsby Town
Grimsby Town 2 - 1 Carlisle
AFC Wimbledon 2 - 0 Notts County
Notts County 1 - 2 Barrow
Fleetwood 2 - 2 Notts County
Notts County 2 - 1 Tranmere
Notts County 1 - 1 Colchester
Port Vale 1 - 0 Notts County

Build-up

Match Preview