League Two

League Two | Gameweek 36

Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK

Technique Stadium

Chesterfield
2 - 1
Newport

Banks (42'), Pepple (44')
Mandeville (78'), Dobra (81')

FT(HT: 2-1)

Baker (40')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Chesterfield and Newport County.

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions

Last Game: Colchester 1-0 Chesterfield
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Newport 3-1 Gillingham
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 74.19%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 10.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a Newport County win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result
Chesterfield	Draw	Newport County
74.19% ( 0.2)	15.67% ( -0.06)	10.13% ( -0.14)

Both teams to score 51.71% (

-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65% (

-0.15)

35% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.01% (

-0.16)

56.99% (

0.16)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.96% (

0.01)

8.04% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

71.7% (

0.02)

28.3% (

-0.02)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.23% (

-0.37)

43.77% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.06% (

-0.31)

79.93% (

0.3)

Score Analysis

Chesterfield 74.18%

Newport County 10.13%

Draw 15.67%

Chesterfield	Draw	Newport County
2-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 9.4% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 8.87% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 7.76% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 5.92% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 4.89% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 2.99% ( 0.03) 5-1 @ 2.47% ( -0) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( -0.02) 6-0 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 6-1 @ 1.04% 5-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.95% Total : 74.18%	1-1 @ 7.33% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 3.52% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.01% Total : 15.67%	1-2 @ 3.03% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 2.91% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.95% Total : 10.13%