League Two Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 1
FT Technique Stadium
  • Oliver Banks 42' goal
  • Aribim Pepple 44' goal
  • Liam Mandeville 78' yellowcard
  • Armando Dobra 81' yellowcard
  • goal Matthew Baker 40'

Chesterfield vs Newport County - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Chesterfield

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
Colchester 1 - 0 Chesterfield
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Will Grigg

Newport County

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
Newport 3 - 1 Gillingham
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Bobby Kamwa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chesterfield win with a probability of 74.19%. A draw had a probability of 15.7% and a win for Newport County had a probability of 10.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chesterfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.4%) and 2-1 (9.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.33%), while for a Newport County win it was 1-2 (3.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chesterfield would win this match.

Result

Chesterfield 74.19% (+0.21)
Draw 15.67% (-0.07)
Newport County 10.13% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.71% (-0.34)

Goals

Over 2.5 65% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 35% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 43.01% (-0.17)
Under 3.5 56.99% (+0.16)
Over 4.5 24.6% (-0.14)
Under 4.5 75.39% (+0.14)

Chesterfield Goals

Over 0.5 91.96% (+0.01)
Under 0.5 8.04% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 71.7% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 28.3% (-0.03)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5 56.23% (-0.38)
Under 0.5 43.77% (+0.37)
Over 1.5 20.06% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 79.93% (+0.31)

Score analysis

Chesterfield 74.18%
Draw 15.67%
Newport County 10.13%
Chesterfield
2-0 @ 11.17% (+0.09)
3-0 @ 9.4% (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.24% (-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.87% (+0.07)
3-1 @ 7.76% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 5.92% (+0.06)
4-1 @ 4.89% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.21% (-0.04)
5-0 @ 2.99% (+0.03)
5-1 @ 2.47% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 2.02% (-0.03)
6-0 @ 1.26% (+0.02)
6-1 @ 1.04%
5-2 @ 1.02% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 74.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.33% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 3.52% (+0.03)
Other @ 1.01%
Total : 15.67%
Newport County
1-2 @ 3.03% (-0.04)
0-1 @ 2.91% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 1.2% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.05% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.95%
Total : 10.13%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 18, 2024 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Rodney Parade
  • Cameron Antwi 40' yellowcard
  • Aaron Wildig 48' yellowcard
  • Kyle Hudlin 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Dilan Markanday 1'
  • goal Dilan Markanday 1'
  • yellowcard Darren Oldaker 3'
  • yellowcard Harvey Araujo 56'
  • goal Will Grigg 84'
  • goal Will Grigg 87'
League Two
May 1, 2018 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kristian Dennis 71' goal
  • yellowcard Ben White 53'
League Two
Aug 26, 2017 3.00pm
4
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Frank Nouble 55' goal
  • Frank Nouble 66' goal
  • Frank Nouble 68' goal
  • Padraig Amond 82' goal
  • Sean Rigg 91' yellowcard
  • goal Chris O'Grady 37'
  • yellowcard Louis Reed 90'
League Two
Apr 5, 2014 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jimmy Ryan 49' goal
  • Jimmy Ryan 88' yellowcard
  • goal Max Porter 83'
League Two
Dec 1, 2013 1.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Danny Crow 6' goal
  • Christian Jolley 28' yellowcard
  • Adam Chapman 74' goal
  • Andy Sandell 87' goal
  • goal Jimmy Ryan 62'
  • yellowcard Oliver Banks 68'
  • redcard Liam Cooper 74'
  • goal Marc Richards 90'