League Two

League Two | Gameweek 35

Mar 4, 2025 at 7.45pm UK

Rodney Parade

Newport
3 - 1
Gillingham

Kamwa (9', 27', 30')
Warner (15'), Antwi (89'), Baker-Richardson (89'), Clarke (90+1')

FT(HT: 3-0)

Morgan (69')
Smith (62'), Ehmer (71'), Gbode (79'), Gale (79'), Nevitt (90+1'), Little (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Newport County and Gillingham, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newport County

All competitions

Last Game: Doncaster 3-0 Newport
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Gillingham

All competitions

Last Game: Gillingham 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, March 1 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gillingham win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Newport County had a probability of 30.78% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gillingham win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.31%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest Newport County win was 1-0 (10.34%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood.

Result
Newport County	Draw	Gillingham
30.78% ( -0.57)	28.01% ( -0.35)	41.21% ( 0.92)

Both teams to score 46.81% (

0.77)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.96% (

1.06)

59.04% (

-1.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.5% (

0.81)

79.5% (

-0.81)

Newport County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.16% (

0.14)

34.84% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.43% (

0.15)

71.57% (

-0.15)

Gillingham Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.83% (

1.03)

28.17% (

-1.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.14% (

1.28)

63.86% (

-1.28)

Score Analysis

Newport County 30.77%

Gillingham 41.21%

Draw 28.01%

Newport County	Draw	Gillingham
1-0 @ 10.34% ( -0.38) 2-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 1.54% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.18% Total : 30.77%	1-1 @ 13.11% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 9.81% ( -0.4) 2-2 @ 4.38% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.01%	0-1 @ 12.43% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.18) 0-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.14) 1-3 @ 3.51% ( 0.17) 0-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.1) 1-4 @ 1.11% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.05% ( 0.08) Other @ 1.75% Total : 41.21%