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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 49.88%. A win for Chesterfield had a probability of 25.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.55%) and 2-0 (8.68%). The likeliest Chesterfield win was 0-1 (7.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 0.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 49.88% ( | 24.57% ( | 25.56% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.72% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.53% ( | 48.47% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.4% ( | 70.6% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.54% ( | 19.46% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.69% ( | 51.31% ( |
| Chesterfield Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.7% ( | 33.3% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.09% ( | 69.91% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Chesterfield |
| 1-0 @ 10.6% ( 2-1 @ 9.55% ( 2-0 @ 8.68% ( 3-1 @ 5.21% ( 3-0 @ 4.74% ( 3-2 @ 2.86% ( 4-1 @ 2.13% ( 4-0 @ 1.94% ( 4-2 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 3% Total : 49.87% | 1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.57% | 0-1 @ 7.13% ( 1-2 @ 6.41% ( 0-2 @ 3.92% ( 1-3 @ 2.35% ( 2-3 @ 1.92% ( 0-3 @ 1.44% ( Other @ 2.39% Total : 25.56% |