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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Salford City win with a probability of 48.05%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 26.1% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Salford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.91%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 0-1 (8.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Salford City | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 48.05% ( | 25.85% ( | 26.1% ( |
| Both teams to score 50.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.74% ( | 53.26% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.18% ( | 74.81% ( |
| Salford City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.82% ( | 22.18% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.42% ( | 55.58% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.57% ( | 35.42% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.81% ( | 72.19% |
| Score Analysis |
| Salford City | Draw | Crewe Alexandra |
| 1-0 @ 11.83% 2-1 @ 9.25% ( 2-0 @ 8.91% ( 3-1 @ 4.64% ( 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 3-2 @ 2.41% ( 4-1 @ 1.75% ( 4-0 @ 1.69% ( 4-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.19% Total : 48.05% | 1-1 @ 12.27% ( 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 2-2 @ 4.8% ( Other @ 0.92% Total : 25.84% | 0-1 @ 8.15% ( 1-2 @ 6.37% ( 0-2 @ 4.23% ( 1-3 @ 2.2% 2-3 @ 1.66% 0-3 @ 1.46% ( Other @ 2.02% Total : 26.1% |