Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.