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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Doncaster Rovers win with a probability of 43.46%. A win for Crewe Alexandra had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Doncaster Rovers win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.87%) and 0-2 (7.85%). The likeliest Crewe Alexandra win was 1-0 (8.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 30.13% ( | 26.41% ( | 43.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.23% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.73% ( | 53.27% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.18% ( | 74.82% ( |
| Crewe Alexandra Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.71% ( | 32.29% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.21% ( | 68.8% ( |
| Doncaster Rovers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.66% ( | 24.34% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.27% ( | 58.73% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Crewe Alexandra | Draw | Doncaster Rovers |
| 1-0 @ 8.88% ( 2-1 @ 7.1% ( 2-0 @ 5.02% ( 3-1 @ 2.67% ( 3-0 @ 1.89% ( 3-2 @ 1.89% ( Other @ 2.68% Total : 30.13% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.86% ( 2-2 @ 5.01% ( Other @ 0.99% Total : 26.41% | 0-1 @ 11.1% ( 1-2 @ 8.87% ( 0-2 @ 7.85% ( 1-3 @ 4.18% ( 0-3 @ 3.7% ( 2-3 @ 2.36% ( 1-4 @ 1.48% ( 0-4 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 2.62% Total : 43.45% |