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Championship header 2

League Two

Port Vale
League Two | Gameweek 26
Mar 25, 2025 at 7.30pm UK
Vale Park
Barrow

Port Vale
0 - 1
Barrow

FT(HT: 0-1)
Jackson (36')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Port Vale and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last Game: Port Vale 1-0 Morecambe
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in League Two

Barrow

All competitions
Last Game: AFC Wimbledon 2-2 Barrow
Saturday, March 22 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 45.61%. A draw had a probability of 27.7% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 26.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.05%) and 2-1 (8.64%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (9.62%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Port ValeDrawBarrow
45.61% (0.512 0.51)27.73% (-0.268 -0.27)26.66% (-0.24 -0.24)
Both teams to score 45.41% (0.544 0.54)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.27% (0.778 0.78)59.73% (-0.774 -0.77)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.97% (0.593 0.59)80.03% (-0.589 -0.59)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.83% (0.621 0.62)26.17% (-0.616 -0.62)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.75% (0.824 0.82)61.25% (-0.82100000000001 -0.82)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.5% (0.227 0.23)38.5% (-0.222 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.76% (0.217 0.22)75.24% (-0.21299999999999 -0.21)
Score Analysis
    Port Vale 45.61%
    Barrow 26.66%
    Draw 27.72%
Port ValeDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 13.5% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-0 @ 9.05% (0.054 0.05)
2-1 @ 8.64% (0.103 0.1)
3-0 @ 4.05% (0.094 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.86% (0.112 0.11)
3-2 @ 1.84% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.36% (0.055 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.29% (0.059 0.06)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 45.61%
1-1 @ 12.89% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 10.07% (-0.3 -0.3)
2-2 @ 4.13% (0.074 0.07)
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 27.72%
0-1 @ 9.62% (-0.224 -0.22)
1-2 @ 6.15% (0.0039999999999996 0)
0-2 @ 4.59% (-0.077999999999999 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.96% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.31% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 1.57%
Total : 26.66%

How you voted: Port Vale vs Barrow

Port Vale
77.8%
Draw
11.1%
Barrow
11.1%
36
Head to Head
Aug 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 3
Barrow
4-0
Port Vale
Garner (54'), Acauah (79'), Spence (81'), Telford (90+5')

Byers (66'), Croasdale (90+8')
Aug 13, 2024 7.45pm
First Round
Barrow
3-2
Port Vale
Garner (1'), Acauah (70'), Jackson (76')
Campbell (41'), Jackson (49')
Paton (26'), Sang (66')
Plant (48')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Barrow
1-2
Port Vale
Kay (24')
Canavan (13'), Farman (45')
Proctor (59'), Martin (89')
Hall (40'), Walker (63')
Oct 16, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Port Vale
3-1
Barrow
Politic (51'), Jones (56' og.), Benning (85')
Banks (33')
Banks (43')
Apr 20, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 43
Barrow
0-2
Port Vale

Barry (7'), Beadling (59'), Ntlhe (88')
Conlon (30', 76')
Brisley (7'), Montano (8'), Guthrie (51')