League Two

League Two | Gameweek 37

Mar 15, 2025 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
3 - 0
MK Dons

Tolaj (27'), Stockley (52'), Garrity (90+8')

FT(HT: 1-0)

O'Reilly (55'), Crowley (90')

Coverage of the League Two clash between Port Vale and MK Dons.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: Colchester 2-1 Port Vale
Tuesday, March 11 at 7.45pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

MK Dons

All competitions

Last Game: MK Dons 2-1 Morecambe
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	MK Dons
46.24% ( 0.07)	25.93% ( -0)	27.83% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 51.34% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.52% (

-0.02)

52.47% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.85% (

-0.02)

74.15% (

0.02)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.34% (

0.03)

22.66% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.69% (

0.04)

56.3% (

-0.04)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.39% (

-0.06)

33.61% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.75% (

-0.06)

70.25% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 46.24%

MK Dons 27.83%

Draw 25.92%

Port Vale	Draw	MK Dons
1-0 @ 11.3% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.39% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.15% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.47% 4-1 @ 1.68% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.11% Total : 46.24%	1-1 @ 12.32% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.62% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.99% ( -0) Other @ 0.99% Total : 25.92%	0-1 @ 8.31% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 27.83%