League Two Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2025 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vale Park
  • Lorent Tolaj 27' goal
  • Jayden Stockley 52' goal
  • Ben Garrity 90'+8' goal
  • yellowcard Tommi O'Reilly 55'
  • yellowcard Dan Crowley 90'

Port Vale vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
Colchester 2 - 1 Port Vale
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Lorent Tolaj

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
MK Dons 2 - 1 Morecambe
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Alex Gilbey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 46.24%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 27.83% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.15%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 0-1 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.32%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Port Vale would win this match.

Result

Port Vale 46.24% (+0.08)
Draw 25.93% (-0.01)
MK Dons 27.83% (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.34% (-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5 47.52% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 52.47% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 25.85% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 74.15% (+0.02)
Over 4.5 11.9% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 88.1% (+0.02)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 77.34% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 22.66% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 43.69% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 56.3% (-0.04)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 66.39% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 33.61% (+0.07)
Over 1.5 29.75% (-0.07)
Under 1.5 70.25% (+0.07)

Score analysis

Port Vale 46.24%
Draw 25.92%
MK Dons 27.83%
Port Vale
1-0 @ 11.3% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.15% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.39% (+0.02)
3-1 @ 4.53% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.15% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.47%
4-1 @ 1.68% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 1.54% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 46.24%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.32% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.62% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 4.99% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 25.92%
MK Dons
0-1 @ 8.31% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 6.72% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.53% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.44% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.81% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.65% (-0.01)
Other @ 2.37%
Total : 27.83%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 11
Oct 12, 2024 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Tommy Leigh 27' goal
  • Laurence Maguire 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jesse Debrah 36'
  • goal Antwoine Hackford 77'
  • yellowcard Rico Richards 89'
  • yellowcard Jayden Stockley 90'+3'
League One Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vale Park
  • A 22' goal
League One Gameweek 4
Aug 16, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Bradley Johnson 34' goal
  • Bradley Johnson 85' goal
  • Jack Tucker 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ellis Harrison 53'
  • goal Ellis Harrison 90'+3'
FA Cup Gameweek 1
Nov 9, 2019 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium mk (Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire)
  • goal David Worrall 20'
  • yellowcard Luke Joyce 71'
League Two Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2019 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium mk (Milton Keynes, Buckinghamshire)
  • David Wheeler 52' goal
  • goal Tom Conlon 48'
  • yellowcard Adam Crookes 49'
  • yellowcard Tom Conlon 51'
  • yellowcard Scott Brown 98'
League Two Gameweek 11
Oct 2, 2018 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 2
FT Vale Park (Stoke-on-Trent, Staffordshire)
  • Nathan Smith 45' yellowcard
  • Tom Pope 57' yellowcard
  • Tom Conlon 86' yellowcard
  • goal Chuks Aneke 23'
  • goal Kieran Agard 31'
  • yellowcard Alex Gilbey 87'