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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 43.51%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Colchester United | Draw | Port Vale |
| 43.51% ( | 28.91% ( | 27.59% ( |
| Both teams to score 42.94% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 36.86% ( | 63.14% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 17.43% ( | 82.57% ( |
| Colchester United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.11% ( | 28.89% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.24% ( | 64.76% ( |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.39% ( | 39.61% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 23.71% ( | 76.3% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Colchester United | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 14.21% ( 2-0 @ 8.82% ( 2-1 @ 8.17% ( 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 3-1 @ 3.38% ( 3-2 @ 1.57% ( 4-0 @ 1.13% ( 4-1 @ 1.05% ( Other @ 1.52% Total : 43.51% | 1-1 @ 13.15% ( 0-0 @ 11.44% ( 2-2 @ 3.78% ( Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.89% | 0-1 @ 10.59% ( 1-2 @ 6.09% ( 0-2 @ 4.91% ( 1-3 @ 1.88% ( 0-3 @ 1.52% ( 2-3 @ 1.17% ( Other @ 1.43% Total : 27.58% |