Accrington Stanley
Barnet
Barrow
Bristol Rovers
Bromley
Cambridge United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crawley Town
Crewe Alexandra
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Newport County
Notts County
Oldham Athletic
Salford City
Shrewsbury Town
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 29
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Port Vale

Colchester
2 - 1
Port Vale

Tovide (34'), Kelleher (86')
Hunt (80'), Iandolo (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Richards (85')
John (42'), Clark (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 Colchester
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 43.51%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawPort Vale
43.51% (0.311 0.31)28.91% (0.529 0.53)27.59% (-0.834 -0.83)
Both teams to score 42.94% (-1.809 -1.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.86% (-2.036 -2.04)63.14% (2.039 2.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.43% (-1.497 -1.5)82.57% (1.501 1.5)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.11% (-0.815 -0.81)28.89% (0.819 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.24% (-1.026 -1.03)64.76% (1.03 1.03)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.39% (-1.829 -1.83)39.61% (1.833 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.71% (-1.736 -1.74)76.3% (1.74 1.74)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 43.51%
    Port Vale 27.58%
    Draw 28.89%
Colchester UnitedDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 14.21% (0.74 0.74)
2-0 @ 8.82% (0.263 0.26)
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-0 @ 3.65% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.38% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.151 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 43.51%
1-1 @ 13.15% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 11.44% (0.84 0.84)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.272 -0.27)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 28.89%
0-1 @ 10.59% (0.27 0.27)
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.91% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 27.58%

How you voted: Colchester vs Port Vale

Colchester United
55.0%
Draw
22.5%
Port Vale
22.5%
40
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Port Vale
1-1
Colchester
Debrah (56')
Heneghan (44'), John (62')
Tovide (90')
Read (34'), Woodyard (60'), Flanagan (86'), Egbo (90+2')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 35
Colchester
1-0
Port Vale
Dallison (85')

Worrall (90+6')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Port Vale
3-0
Colchester
Gibbons (6'), Wilson (16'), Martin (61')
Gibbons (75')

Sarpong-Wiredu (11'), Chilvers (51')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 37
Colchester
0-1
Port Vale

Nouble (77'), Eastman (90+2')
Rodney (19')
Oyeleke (16'), Montano (61'), Legge (62'), Brown (89')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 17
Port Vale
1-1
Colchester
Rodney (58')
Joyce (69')
Norris (65')
Norris (77'), Gambin (88'), Senior (90+2')