League Two Gameweek 29
Colchester
Mar 11, 2025 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT JobServe Community Stadium
Port Vale
  • Samson Tovide 34' goal
  • Rob Hunt 80' yellowcard
  • Ellis Iandolo 85' yellowcard
  • Fiacre Kelleher 86' goal
  • yellowcard Kyle John 42'
  • yellowcard Mitch Clark 77'
  • goal Rico Richards 85'

Colchester United vs Port Vale - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Colchester United

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
Cheltenham 0 - 1 Colchester
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Lyle Taylor

Port Vale

All competitions
Last game
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
Fleetwood 1 - 1 Port Vale
Goals scored
65
Top scorer
Lorent Tolaj

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 43.51%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.

Result

Colchester United 43.51% ▲ (+0.32)
Draw 28.91% ▲ (+0.53)
Port Vale 27.59% ▼ (-0.84)

Both Teams to Score: 

42.94% ▼ (-1.81)

Goals

Over 2.5 36.86% ▼ (-2.04)
Under 2.5 63.14% ▲ (+2.04)
Over 3.5 17.43% ▼ (-1.50)
Under 3.5 82.57% ▲ (+1.51)
Over 4.5 6.9% ▼ (-0.83)
Under 4.5 93.1% ▲ (+0.83)

Colchester United Goals

Over 0.5 71.11% ▼ (-0.82)
Under 0.5 28.89% ▲ (+0.82)
Over 1.5 35.24% ▼ (-1.03)
Under 1.5 64.76% ▲ (+1.04)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5 60.39% ▼ (-1.83)
Under 0.5 39.61% ▲ (+1.84)
Over 1.5 23.71% ▼ (-1.74)
Under 1.5 76.3% ▲ (+1.74)

Score analysis

Colchester United 43.51%
Draw 28.89%
Port Vale 27.58%
Colchester United
1-0 @ 14.21% ▲ (+0.75)
2-0 @ 8.82% ▲ (+0.27)
2-1 @ 8.17% ▼ (-0.17)
3-0 @ 3.65% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 3.38% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.16)
4-0 @ 1.13% ▼ (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.05% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 43.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 13.15% ▲ (+0.05)
0-0 @ 11.44% ▲ (+0.84)
2-2 @ 3.78% ▼ (-0.28)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 28.89%
Port Vale
0-1 @ 10.59% ▲ (+0.27)
1-2 @ 6.09% ▼ (-0.30)
0-2 @ 4.91% ▼ (-0.12)
1-3 @ 1.88% ▼ (-0.20)
0-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.12)
2-3 @ 1.17% ▼ (-0.15)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 27.58%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 9
Port Vale
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
Colchester
  • Ben Heneghan 44' yellowcard
  • Jesse Debrah 56' goal
  • Kyle John 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arthur Read 34'
  • yellowcard Alex Woodyard 60'
  • yellowcard Tom Flanagan 86'
  • goal Samson Tovide 90'
  • yellowcard Mandela Egbo 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 35
Colchester
Mar 5, 2022 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Port Vale
  • Tom Dallison 85' goal
  • yellowcard David Worrall 90'+6'
League Two Gameweek 14
Port Vale
Oct 23, 2021 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Colchester
  • James Gibbons 6' goal
  • James Wilson 16' goal
  • Aaron Martin 61' goal
  • James Gibbons 75' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Brendan Sarpong-Wiredu 11'
  • yellowcard Noah Chilvers 51'
League Two Gameweek 37
Colchester
Mar 20, 2021 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT JobServe Community Stadium
Port Vale
  • Frank Nouble 77' yellowcard
  • Tom Eastman 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manny Oyeleke 16'
  • goal Devante Rodney 19'
  • yellowcard Cristian Montano 61'
  • yellowcard Leon Legge 62'
  • yellowcard Scott Brown 89'
League Two Gameweek 17
Port Vale
Dec 12, 2020 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Vale Park
Colchester
  • Devante Rodney 58' goal
  • Luke Joyce 69' yellowcard
  • goal Luke Norris 65'
  • yellowcard Luke Norris 77'
  • yellowcard Luke Gambin 88'
  • yellowcard Courtney Senior 90'+2'
League Two Gameweek 34
Port Vale
Feb 15, 2020 3.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Vale Park
Colchester
  • Tom Conlon 14' goal
  • Luke Joyce 17' yellowcard
  • Shaun Brisley 32' yellowcard
  • Leon Legge 39' yellowcard
  • Mark Cullen 54' goal
  • Scott Burgess 70' yellowcard
  • Mark Cullen 72' goal
  • yellowcard Ben Stevenson 43'
  • yellowcard Harry Pell 43'

Form Data

Cheltenham 0 - 1 Colchester
Colchester 1 - 0 Chesterfield
MK Dons 0 - 1 Colchester
Colchester 1 - 1 AFC Wimbledon
Notts County 1 - 1 Colchester
Carlisle 0 - 0 Colchester
Fleetwood 1 - 1 Port Vale
Port Vale 0 - 0 Harrogate
Tranmere 1 - 1 Port Vale
Port Vale 2 - 1 Salford City
Port Vale 1 - 0 Notts County
Swindon 3 - 3 Port Vale