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AFC Wimbledon
Accrington Stanley
Barrow
Bradford City
Bromley
Carlisle United
Cheltenham Town
Chesterfield
Colchester United
Crewe Alexandra
Doncaster Rovers
Fleetwood Town
Gillingham
Grimsby Town
Harrogate Town
MK Dons
Morecambe
Newport County
Notts County
Port Vale
Salford City
Swindon Town
Tranmere Rovers
Walsall
Colchester United
League Two | Gameweek 29
Mar 11, 2025 at 7.45pm UK
JobServe Community Stadium
Port Vale

Colchester
2 - 1
Port Vale

Tovide (34'), Kelleher (86')
Hunt (80'), Iandolo (85')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Richards (85')
John (42'), Clark (77')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Colchester United and Port Vale, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cheltenham 0-1 Colchester
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League Two
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-1 Port Vale
Saturday, March 8 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Colchester United 1-1 Port Vale

Both teams have shown their resilience in recent weeks, and their ability to find ways to avoid defeat suggests that they will play out a close contest in midweek. Also, given that Colchester have conceded very few goals recently while also scoring very few of their own means that Tuesday's game should be low scoring once again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colchester United win with a probability of 43.51%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Port Vale had a probability of 27.59%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 2-1 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.15%), while for a Port Vale win it was 0-1 (10.59%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Colchester United would win this match.

Result
Colchester UnitedDrawPort Vale
43.51% (0.311 0.31) 28.91% (0.529 0.53) 27.59% (-0.834 -0.83)
Both teams to score 42.94% (-1.809 -1.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.86% (-2.036 -2.04)63.14% (2.039 2.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.43% (-1.497 -1.5)82.57% (1.501 1.5)
Colchester United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.11% (-0.815 -0.81)28.89% (0.819 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.24% (-1.026 -1.03)64.76% (1.03 1.03)
Port Vale Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.39% (-1.829 -1.83)39.61% (1.833 1.83)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.71% (-1.736 -1.74)76.3% (1.74 1.74)
Score Analysis
    Colchester United 43.51%
    Port Vale 27.58%
    Draw 28.89%
Colchester UnitedDrawPort Vale
1-0 @ 14.21% (0.74 0.74)
2-0 @ 8.82% (0.263 0.26)
2-1 @ 8.17% (-0.161 -0.16)
3-0 @ 3.65% (0.027 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.38% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-2 @ 1.57% (-0.151 -0.15)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.017 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.05% (-0.071 -0.07)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 43.51%
1-1 @ 13.15% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 11.44% (0.84 0.84)
2-2 @ 3.78% (-0.272 -0.27)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 28.89%
0-1 @ 10.59% (0.27 0.27)
1-2 @ 6.09% (-0.29 -0.29)
0-2 @ 4.91% (-0.117 -0.12)
1-3 @ 1.88% (-0.19 -0.19)
0-3 @ 1.52% (-0.115 -0.12)
2-3 @ 1.17% (-0.148 -0.15)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 27.58%

How you voted: Colchester vs Port Vale

Colchester United
55.0%
Draw
22.5%
Port Vale
22.5%
40
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2024 7.45pm
Gameweek 9
Port Vale
1-1
Colchester
Debrah (56')
Heneghan (44'), John (62')
Tovide (90')
Read (34'), Woodyard (60'), Flanagan (86'), Egbo (90+2')
Mar 5, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 35
Colchester
1-0
Port Vale
Dallison (85')

Worrall (90+6')
Oct 23, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 14
Port Vale
3-0
Colchester
Gibbons (6'), Wilson (16'), Martin (61')
Gibbons (75')

Sarpong-Wiredu (11'), Chilvers (51')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 37
Colchester
0-1
Port Vale

Nouble (77'), Eastman (90+2')
Rodney (19')
Oyeleke (16'), Montano (61'), Legge (62'), Brown (89')
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 17
Port Vale
1-1
Colchester
Rodney (58')
Joyce (69')
Norris (65')
Norris (77'), Gambin (88'), Senior (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CDoncaster RoversDoncaster4624121073502384
4Walsall4621141175542177
5AFC Wimbledon4620131356352173
6Notts County4620121468491972
7Chesterfield4619131473541970
8Salford City4618151364541069
9Grimsby Town46208186167-668
10Colchester UnitedColchester461619115247567
11Bromley461715146459566
12Swindon TownSwindon461517147163862
13Crewe AlexandraCrewe461517144948162
14Fleetwood TownFleetwood461515166060060
15Cheltenham TownCheltenham461612186070-1060
16BarrowBarrow461514175250259
17Gillingham461416164146-558
18Harrogate TownHarrogate461411214361-1853
19MK Dons461410225266-1452
20Tranmere RoversTranmere461215194565-2051
21Accrington StanleyAccrington461214205369-1650
22Newport CountyNewport461310235276-2449
RCarlisle UnitedCarlisle461012244471-2742
RMorecambe46106304072-3236


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