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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 38.26%. A win for Port Vale had a probability of 34.02% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.09%) and 2-0 (7.03%). The likeliest Port Vale win was 0-1 (10.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Port Vale |
| 38.26% | 27.72% | 34.02% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.5% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 42.68% ( | 57.32% |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 21.85% | 78.15% |
| Fleetwood Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.97% | 29.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.07% | 64.93% ( |
| Port Vale Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.33% ( | 31.67% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.92% ( | 68.08% |
| Score Analysis |
| Fleetwood Town | Draw | Port Vale |
| 1-0 @ 11.37% 2-1 @ 8.09% 2-0 @ 7.03% 3-1 @ 3.33% 3-0 @ 2.9% 3-2 @ 1.92% 4-1 @ 1.03% Other @ 2.59% Total : 38.26% | 1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 4.65% Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.72% | 0-1 @ 10.56% 1-2 @ 7.52% 0-2 @ 6.08% 1-3 @ 2.88% 0-3 @ 2.33% 2-3 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.87% Total : 34.01% |