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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 22.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.
| Result | ||
| MK Dons | Draw | Morecambe |
| 52.19% ( | 25.34% ( | 22.47% ( |
| Both teams to score 48.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 45.77% ( | 54.23% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.37% ( | 75.63% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.2% ( | 20.79% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.55% ( | 53.45% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.75% ( | 39.24% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.05% ( | 75.95% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| MK Dons | Draw | Morecambe |
| 1-0 @ 12.81% ( 2-0 @ 10.06% ( 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 3-0 @ 5.27% ( 3-1 @ 4.93% ( 3-2 @ 2.31% ( 4-0 @ 2.07% ( 4-1 @ 1.94% ( 4-2 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 2.48% Total : 52.18% | 1-1 @ 11.98% ( 0-0 @ 8.16% ( 2-2 @ 4.4% ( Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.33% | 0-1 @ 7.63% ( 1-2 @ 5.61% ( 0-2 @ 3.57% ( 1-3 @ 1.75% ( 2-3 @ 1.37% ( 0-3 @ 1.11% ( Other @ 1.43% Total : 22.47% |