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MK Dons
League Two | Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 at 3pm UK
Stadium mk
Morecambe

MK Dons
2 - 1
Morecambe

Offord (42'), Orsi (64')
Trueman (36'), Lemonheigh-Evans (50'), Lawrence (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Angol (37' pen.)
Taylor (19')
Coverage of the League Two clash between MK Dons and Morecambe.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Accrington 2-0 MK Dons
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League Two
Last Game: Morecambe 1-0 AFC Wimbledon
Tuesday, March 4 at 7.45pm in League Two

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 22.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result
MK DonsDrawMorecambe
52.19% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)25.34% (0.065000000000001 0.07)22.47% (0.027999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.12% (-0.145 -0.14)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.77% (-0.211 -0.21)54.23% (0.207 0.21)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.37% (-0.177 -0.18)75.63% (0.17400000000001 0.17)
MK Dons Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.2% (-0.12400000000001 -0.12)20.79% (0.121 0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.55% (-0.195 -0.2)53.45% (0.192 0.19)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.75% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)39.24% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.05% (-0.083000000000002 -0.08)75.95% (0.081999999999994 0.08)
Score Analysis
    MK Dons 52.18%
    Morecambe 22.47%
    Draw 25.33%
MK DonsDrawMorecambe
1-0 @ 12.81% (0.06 0.06)
2-0 @ 10.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 5.27% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.027 -0.03)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.014 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-2 @ 0.91% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.48%
Total : 52.18%
1-1 @ 11.98% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.16% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.33%
0-1 @ 7.63% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
1-2 @ 5.61% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 3.57% (0.012 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 22.47%

Head to Head
Oct 19, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 12
Morecambe
1-3
MK Dons
Stott (44')
Tomlinson (2' pen.), Hogan (22'), Kelly (49')
Maguire (7'), Offord (69'), Williams (79')
Jan 20, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 29
MK Dons
1-2
Morecambe
Dean (2')
Dean (10'), Tomlinson (21')
Slew (51'), Brown (90+2')
Bedeau (35'), Brown (90+6'), Stokes (90+8')
Dec 23, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 23
Morecambe
1-3
MK Dons
McKiernan (49')
Connolly (27'), McKiernan (52'), Slew (90+6')
Dean (31', 90+7'), Tomlinson (69')
Williams (41'), Williams (41')
Mar 25, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 38
MK Dons
1-0
Morecambe
Leko (57')
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
Third Round
MK Dons
2-0
Morecambe
O'Hora (18'), Dennis (51')
rhs 2.0


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