League Two Gameweek 36
Mar 8, 2025 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadium mk
  • Connal Trueman 36' yellowcard
  • Luke Offord 42' goal
  • Connor Lemonheigh-Evans 50' yellowcard
  • Danilo Orsi 64' goal
  • Nico Lawrence 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Max Taylor 19'
  • goal Lee Angol 37'

MK Dons vs Morecambe - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
Accrington 2 - 0 MK Dons
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Alex Gilbey

Morecambe

All competitions
Last game
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
Morecambe 1 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Ben Tollitt

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 52.19%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 22.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.98%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that MK Dons would win this match.

Result

MK Dons 52.19% (-0.10)
Draw 25.34% (+0.07)
Morecambe 22.47% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.12% (-0.15)

Goals

Over 2.5 45.77% (-0.22)
Under 2.5 54.23% (+0.21)
Over 3.5 24.37% (-0.18)
Under 3.5 75.63% (+0.18)
Over 4.5 10.96% (-0.12)
Under 4.5 89.04% (+0.11)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 79.2% (-0.13)
Under 0.5 20.79% (+0.13)
Over 1.5 46.55% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 53.45% (+0.20)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5 60.75% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 39.24% (+0.09)
Over 1.5 24.05% (-0.09)
Under 1.5 75.95% (+0.09)

Score analysis

MK Dons 52.18%
Draw 25.33%
Morecambe 22.47%
MK Dons
1-0 @ 12.81% (+0.07)
2-0 @ 10.06% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.27% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 4.93% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.07% (-0.02)
4-1 @ 1.94% (-0.02)
Other @ 3.39%
Total : 52.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.98% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 8.16% (+0.07)
2-2 @ 4.4% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.33%
Morecambe
0-1 @ 7.63% (+0.05)
1-2 @ 5.61% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.57% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.37% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.11% (+0.01)
Other @ 1.43%
Total : 22.47%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 12
Oct 19, 2024 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT Mazuma Stadium
  • Jamie Stott 44' goal
  • goal Joe Tomlinson 2'
  • yellowcard Laurence Maguire 7'
  • goal Scott Hogan 22'
  • goal Liam Kelly 49'
  • yellowcard Luke Offord 69'
  • yellowcard MJ Williams 79'
League Two Gameweek 29
Jan 20, 2024 3.00pm
1
2
HT : 2 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Max Dean 2' goal
  • Max Dean 2' goal
  • Max Dean 10' yellowcard
  • Max Dean 10' yellowcard
  • Joe Tomlinson 21' yellowcard
  • Joe Tomlinson 21' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jacob Bedeau 35'
  • yellowcard Jacob Bedeau 35'
  • goal 51'
  • goal Jordan Slew 51'
  • goal Charlie Brown 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Charlie Brown 90'+6'
  • yellowcard Chris Stokes 90'+8'
League Two Gameweek 23
Dec 23, 2023 3.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Mazuma Stadium
  • James Connolly 27' yellowcard
  • James Connolly 27' yellowcard
  • JJ McKiernan 49' goal
  • JJ McKiernan 49' goal
  • JJ McKiernan 52' yellowcard
  • JJ McKiernan 52' yellowcard
  • Jordan Slew 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Max Dean 31'
  • goal Max Dean 31'
  • yellowcard MJ Williams 41'
  • yellowcard M. Williams 41'
  • yellowcard MJ Williams 41'
  • yellowcard M. Williams 41'
  • goal Joe Tomlinson 69'
  • goal Joe Tomlinson 69'
  • goal Max Dean 90'+7'
League One Gameweek 38
Mar 25, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Jonathan Leko 57' goal
EFL Cup
Nov 8, 2022 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
  • Warren O'Hora 18' goal
  • Matthew Dennis 51' goal
League One Gameweek 6
Aug 27, 2022 3.00pm
0
4
HT : 0 2
FT Mazuma Stadium
  • goal Will Grigg 16'
  • goal Will Grigg 36'
  • goal Conor Grant 62'
  • goal Matthew Dennis 67'