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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | MK Dons |
| 28.7% ( | 25.54% ( | 45.75% ( |
| Both teams to score 53.12% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.56% ( | 50.44% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.63% ( | 72.37% ( |
| Accrington Stanley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.13% ( | 31.88% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.68% ( | 68.32% ( |
| MK Dons Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.97% ( | 22.03% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.65% ( | 55.35% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Accrington Stanley | Draw | MK Dons |
| 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 2-1 @ 6.94% ( 2-0 @ 4.59% ( 3-1 @ 2.65% ( 3-2 @ 2% ( 3-0 @ 1.75% ( Other @ 2.74% Total : 28.7% | 1-1 @ 12.14% ( 0-0 @ 7.02% ( 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 3-3 @ 1.01% ( Other @ 0.12% Total : 25.54% | 0-1 @ 10.62% 1-2 @ 9.19% ( 0-2 @ 8.04% ( 1-3 @ 4.63% ( 0-3 @ 4.05% ( 2-3 @ 2.65% ( 1-4 @ 1.75% ( 0-4 @ 1.53% ( 2-4 @ 1% ( Other @ 2.29% Total : 45.75% |