League Two Gameweek 35
Accrington
Mar 4, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT Wham Stadium
MK Dons
  • Tyler Walton 24' goal
  • Joe O'Brien-Whitmarsh 39' goal
  • Sebastian Quirk 89' yellowcard
  • Tyler Walton 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Travis Patterson 59'
  • yellowcard Nico Lawrence 62'
  • yellowcard Luke Offord 90'+5'

Accrington Stanley vs MK Dons - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
Harrogate 2 - 1 Accrington
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Ben Woods

MK Dons

All competitions
Last game
Mar 1, 2025 3.00pm
MK Dons 0 - 1 Colchester
Goals scored
52
Top scorer
Alex Gilbey

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a MK Dons win with a probability of 45.75%. A win for Accrington Stanley had a probability of 28.7% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a MK Dons win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.19%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Accrington Stanley win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.14%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result

Accrington Stanley 28.7% ▲ (+0.06)
Draw 25.54% ▲ (+0.02)
MK Dons 45.75% ▼ (-0.07)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.12% ▼ (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.56% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 50.44% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 27.63% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 72.37% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 4.5 13.06% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 4.5 86.93% ▲ (+0.03)

Accrington Stanley Goals

Over 0.5 68.13% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 0.5 31.88% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 1.5 31.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 68.32% ▼ (-0.03)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5 77.97% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 0.5 22.03% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 1.5 44.65% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 1.5 55.35% ▲ (+0.07)

Score analysis

Accrington Stanley 28.7%
Draw 25.54%
MK Dons 45.75%
Accrington Stanley
1-0 @ 8.03% ▲ (+0.02)
2-1 @ 6.94% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.59% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 2.65% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.75% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.74%
Total : 28.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.14% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.02% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 5.25% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.54%
MK Dons
0-1 @ 10.62%
1-2 @ 9.19% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 8.04% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 4.63% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 4.05% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 2.65% ▼ (-0.01)
1-4 @ 1.75% ▼ (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.53% ▼ (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 2.29%
Total : 45.75%

Head to Head

League Two Gameweek 13
MK Dons
Oct 22, 2024 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
Accrington
  • Alex Gilbey 1' goal
  • Alex Gilbey 35' yellowcard
  • Joe Tomlinson 58' goal
  • Joe Tomlinson 72' yellowcard
  • Dean Lewington 73' yellowcard
  • Luke Offord 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Shaun Whalley 43'
  • yellowcard Liam Coyle 52'
  • goal Josh Woods 67'
  • yellowcard Jake Batty 72'
  • yellowcard Donald Love 81'
  • yellowcard Farrend Rawson 83'
  • yellowcard Ashley Hunter 90'+3'
League Two Gameweek 32
MK Dons
Feb 10, 2024 3.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Stadium mk
Accrington
  • Jack Payne 71' goal
  • Jack Payne 77' yellowcard
  • Joe Tomlinson 90'+3' goal
  • goal Jack Nolan 11'
  • yellowcard Joe Gubbins 29'
  • yellowcard John Coleman 30'
  • yellowcard Dan Martin 34'
  • yellowcard Seamus Conneely 58'
  • yellowcard Josh Woods 65'
  • yellowcard Connor O'Brien 79'
  • yellowcard Jack Nolan 90'
League Two Gameweek 14
Accrington
Oct 21, 2023 3.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Wham Stadium
MK Dons
  • Shaun Whalley 31' goal
  • Ben Woods 41' yellowcard
  • Shaun Whalley 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Daniel Harvie 56'
League One Gameweek 37
Accrington
Mar 18, 2023 3.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Wham Stadium
MK Dons
  • goal Sullay Kaikai 8'
League One Gameweek 5
MK Dons
Aug 20, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadium mk
Accrington
  • Ethan Robson 30' goal
  • Bradley Johnson 61' yellowcard
  • Henry Lawrence 70' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ryan Astley 10'
  • yellowcard Mitch Clark 43'
  • yellowcard Ethan Hamilton 60'
  • yellowcard Sean McConville 68'
  • goal Sean McConville 78'
League One Gameweek 27
Accrington
Jan 8, 2022 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT
MK Dons
  • Colby Bishop 9' goal
  • Liam Coyle 34' redcard
  • Ethan Hamilton 90' yellowcard
  • goal Mohamed Eisa 25'
  • yellowcard Dean Lewington 77'

Form Data

Harrogate 2 - 1 Accrington
Tranmere 0 - 1 Accrington
Accrington 1 - 2 Doncaster
Morecambe 2 - 0 Accrington
Bradford 1 - 0 Accrington
Accrington 0 - 0 AFC Wimbledon
MK Dons 0 - 1 Colchester
Bradford 2 - 0 MK Dons
Tranmere 1 - 1 MK Dons
Barrow 2 - 1 MK Dons
MK Dons 0 - 1 Bromley
Doncaster 2 - 1 MK Dons