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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 36.92%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 34.78% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.79%) and 0-2 (6.87%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (11.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.23%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Morecambe | Draw | Barrow |
| 34.78% ( | 28.29% ( | 36.92% ( |
| Both teams to score 46.88% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.64% ( | 59.36% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.25% ( | 79.74% ( |
| Morecambe Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.79% ( | 32.21% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.3% ( | 68.7% ( |
| Barrow Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69.16% ( | 30.84% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.88% ( | 67.12% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Morecambe | Draw | Barrow |
| 1-0 @ 11.25% 2-1 @ 7.5% ( 2-0 @ 6.38% ( 3-1 @ 2.83% ( 3-0 @ 2.41% ( 3-2 @ 1.67% ( Other @ 2.75% Total : 34.78% | 1-1 @ 13.23% 0-0 @ 9.93% ( 2-2 @ 4.41% ( Other @ 0.71% Total : 28.28% | 0-1 @ 11.68% ( 1-2 @ 7.79% ( 0-2 @ 6.87% ( 1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0-3 @ 2.7% ( 2-3 @ 1.73% ( Other @ 3.1% Total : 36.92% |