Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AFC Wimbledon win with a probability of 49.64%. A draw had a probability of 27.4% and a win for Barrow had a probability of 22.99%.
The most likely scoreline for an AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.26%) and 2-1 (8.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.56%), while for a Barrow win it was 0-1 (8.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.