League Two

League Two | Gameweek 38

Mar 22, 2025 at 3pm UK

Vale Park

Port Vale
1 - 0
Morecambe

Curtis (89')
C (24'), Curtis (90')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Tutonda (17'), Williams (31'), Angol (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between Port Vale and Morecambe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Port Vale

All competitions

Last Game: Port Vale 3-0 MK Dons
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Morecambe

All competitions

Last Game: Morecambe 2-2 Barrow
Saturday, March 15 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Port Vale win with a probability of 56.6%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Morecambe had a probability of 18.76%.

The most likely scoreline for a Port Vale win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.53%), while for a Morecambe win it was 0-1 (7.08%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Port Vale in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Port Vale.

Result
Port Vale	Draw	Morecambe
56.6% ( 0.03)	24.64% ( 0.04)	18.76% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 44.99% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.33% (

-0.22)

55.67% (

0.22)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.18% (

-0.18)

76.82% (

0.18)

Port Vale Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.41% (

-0.07)

19.6% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.47% (

-0.12)

51.53% (

0.12)

Morecambe Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.96% (

-0.2)

44.04% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.84% (

-0.17)

80.16% (

0.17)

Score Analysis

Port Vale 56.59%

Morecambe 18.76%

Draw 24.64%

Port Vale	Draw	Morecambe
1-0 @ 14.06% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.23% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.11% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.54% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.62% Total : 56.59%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.62% Total : 24.64%	0-1 @ 7.08% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.73% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.9% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.29% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.71% Total : 18.76%