AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Ajax
Ajax
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FC Twente logo
FC Utrecht
FC Utrecht
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Feyenoord
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
Go Ahead Eagles
Go Ahead Eagles
Groningen
Groningen
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
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Heracles Almelo
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NAC Breda
NEC
NEC
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PEC Zwolle
PSV
PSV
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Waalwijk logo
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Sparta Rotterdam logo
Willem II
Willem II
PSV
Eredivisie | Gameweek 27
Mar 30, 2025 at 1.30pm UK
Philips Stadion
Ajax

PSV
0 - 2
Ajax


Lang (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Klaassen (35'), Traore (67')
Brobbey (36'), Taylor (58')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PSV Eindhoven and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PSV Eindhoven

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: RKC Waalwijk 0-3 PSV
Saturday, March 15 at 7pm in Eredivisie

Ajax

All competitions
Eredivisie
Last Game: Ajax 2-2 AZ
Sunday, March 16 at 3.45pm in Eredivisie

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.52%. A win for Ajax had a probability of 26.58% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.44%) and 2-0 (6.2%). The likeliest Ajax win was 1-2 (6.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 3% likelihood.

Result
PSV EindhovenDrawAjax
52.52% (-3.727 -3.73)20.9% (1.215 1.22)26.58% (2.515 2.52)
Both teams to score 67.76% (-1.864 -1.86)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
69.53% (-3.499 -3.5)30.46% (3.501 3.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
48.25% (-4.304 -4.3)51.75% (4.306 4.31)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.99% (-2.126 -2.13)12.01% (2.129 2.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.53% (-4.712 -4.71)37.47% (4.713 4.71)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.01% (-0.249 -0.25)22.99% (0.252 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.21% (-0.369 -0.37)56.79% (0.371 0.37)
Score Analysis
    PSV Eindhoven 52.52%
    Ajax 26.58%
    Draw 20.9%
PSV EindhovenDrawAjax
2-1 @ 9.12% (0.203 0.2)
3-1 @ 6.44% (-0.437 -0.44)
2-0 @ 6.2% (0.183 0.18)
1-0 @ 5.85% (0.652 0.65)
3-2 @ 4.73% (-0.358 -0.36)
3-0 @ 4.38% (-0.262 -0.26)
4-1 @ 3.41% (-0.567 -0.57)
4-2 @ 2.51% (-0.438 -0.44)
4-0 @ 2.32% (-0.365 -0.37)
5-1 @ 1.45% (-0.396 -0.4)
4-3 @ 1.23% (-0.226 -0.23)
5-2 @ 1.06% (-0.301 -0.3)
5-0 @ 0.98% (-0.259 -0.26)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 52.52%
1-1 @ 8.6% (0.901 0.9)
2-2 @ 6.7% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 2.76% (0.515 0.52)
3-3 @ 2.32% (-0.194 -0.19)
Other @ 0.51%
Total : 20.9%
1-2 @ 6.32% (0.619 0.62)
0-1 @ 4.06% (0.732 0.73)
2-3 @ 3.28% (0.025 0.02)
1-3 @ 3.1% (0.283 0.28)
0-2 @ 2.98% (0.519 0.52)
0-3 @ 1.46% (0.245 0.25)
2-4 @ 1.21%
1-4 @ 1.14% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 26.58%

How you voted: PSV vs Ajax

PSV Eindhoven
47.7%
Draw
36.4%
Ajax
15.9%
44
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2024 5.45pm
Gameweek 11
Ajax
3-2
PSV
Klaassen (43'), Fitz-Jim (66'), Godts (74')
Brobbey (70'), Berghuis (90+3')
De Jong (18'), Perisic (54')
Flamingo (23'), Karsdorp (76'), de Jong (90+5')
> Preview
Feb 3, 2024 7pm
Gameweek 20
Ajax
1-1
PSV
Berghuis (19')
Hato (26')
De Jong (34')
Schouten (72'), Ramalho (76'), Lozano (77')
> Preview
Oct 29, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 10
PSV
5-2
Ajax
Lozano (20', 60', 72'), De Jong (49'), Saibari (52')
Saibari (90')
Van den Boomen (10'), Brobbey (40')
Hato (13'), Bergwijn (62')
> Match Report
Apr 30, 2023 5pm
Final
Ajax
1-1
PSV
(Aggregate 1-1 | PSV win 3-2 on penalties)
Branthwaite (42' og.)
Hazard (67')
> Match Report
Apr 23, 2023 1.30pm
Gameweek 30
PSV
3-0
Ajax
De Jong (13', 78'), Simons (54' pen.)
> Preview