Eredivisie | Gameweek 25

Mar 9, 2025 at 1.30pm UK

MAC³PARK Stadion

PEC Zwolle
0 - 1
Ajax

Thomas (32')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Taylor (61' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between PEC Zwolle and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

PEC Zwolle

All competitions

Last Game: Heracles 4-2 PEC Zwolle
Sunday, March 2 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Ajax

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Ajax 1-2 Frankfurt
Thursday, March 6 at 8pm in Europa League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 69.23%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 12.54%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 0-2 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (10.29%) and 1-2 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.63%), while for a PEC Zwolle win it was 1-0 (3.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.

Result
PEC Zwolle	Draw	Ajax
12.54% ( -0.06)	18.22% ( -0.06)	69.23% ( 0.12)

Both teams to score 50.72% (

0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.48% (

0.15)

40.51% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

37.1% (

0.15)

62.89% (

-0.15)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.73% (

0.01)

43.26% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.49% (

0.01)

79.51% (

-0.01)

Ajax Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.39% (

0.07)

10.61% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.59% (

0.16)

34.4% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

PEC Zwolle 12.54%

Ajax 69.22%

Draw 18.22%

PEC Zwolle	Draw	Ajax
1-0 @ 3.84% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 3.61% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.13% ( -0) 3-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 1.33% Total : 12.54%	1-1 @ 8.63% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 4.59% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.05% ( -0) Other @ 0.95% Total : 18.22%	0-2 @ 11.54% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 10.29% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 9.68% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 8.64% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 7.24% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 4.85% ( 0.03) 1-4 @ 4.06% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 0-5 @ 2.18% ( 0.02) 1-5 @ 1.82% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.7% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.2% Total : 69.22%