Eredivisie | Gameweek 24

Mar 2, 2025 at 1.30pm UK

Erve Asito

Heracles
4 - 2
PEC Zwolle

De Keersmaecker (8' pen.), Bruns (44'), Talvitie (58'), Hornkamp (63')
Mesik (40')

FT(HT: 2-2)

Vente (9'), Garcia McNulty (32')
van der Haar (8'), Monteiro (18')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Eredivisie clash between Heracles and PEC Zwolle, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Heracles

All competitions

Eredivisie

Last Game: Heracles 2-2 AZ (3-4 pen.)
Thursday, February 27 at 7pm in KNVB Beker

Goals
for

PEC Zwolle

All competitions

Last Game: PEC Zwolle 1-1 Heerenveen
Sunday, February 16 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heracles win with a probability of 49.52%. A win for PEC Zwolle had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Heracles win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.92%) and 2-0 (7.78%). The likeliest PEC Zwolle win was 1-2 (6.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heracles would win this match.

Result
Heracles	Draw	PEC Zwolle
49.52% ( 0.06)	23.55%	26.94% ( -0.06)

Both teams to score 58.39% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.1% (

-0.05)

42.9% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

34.7% (

-0.05)

65.3% (

0.04)

Heracles Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.55% (

0.01)

17.45% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.08% (

0.01)

47.92% (

-0.01)

PEC Zwolle Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.73% (

-0.07)

29.27% (

0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.77% (

-0.09)

65.23% (

0.08)

Score Analysis

Heracles 49.52%

PEC Zwolle 26.94%

Draw 23.54%

Heracles	Draw	PEC Zwolle
2-1 @ 9.56% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 8.92% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 7.78% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.53% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.98% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.49% ( -0) Other @ 3.85% Total : 49.52%	1-1 @ 10.95% 2-2 @ 5.88% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 5.11% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 0.21% Total : 23.54%	1-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 6.28% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.86% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.41% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.33% Total : 26.94%