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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 56.46%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 23.46% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (6.88%) and 0-2 (6.6%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 (5.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.25%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that PSV Eindhoven would win this match.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 23.46% ( | 20.09% ( | 56.46% ( |
| Both teams to score 67.25% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 70.32% ( | 29.67% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 49.2% ( | 50.79% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.29% ( | 24.71% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.75% ( | 59.25% ( |
| PSV Eindhoven Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 89.31% ( | 10.68% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 65.42% ( | 34.58% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | PSV Eindhoven |
| 2-1 @ 5.77% ( 1-0 @ 3.69% ( 3-2 @ 3.01% ( 3-1 @ 2.69% ( 2-0 @ 2.58% ( 3-0 @ 1.2% ( 4-2 @ 1.05% ( 4-1 @ 0.94% ( Other @ 2.53% Total : 23.46% | 1-1 @ 8.25% ( 2-2 @ 6.45% ( 0-0 @ 2.64% ( 3-3 @ 2.24% ( Other @ 0.5% Total : 20.09% | 1-2 @ 9.23% ( 1-3 @ 6.88% ( 0-2 @ 6.6% ( 0-1 @ 5.9% ( 0-3 @ 4.92% ( 2-3 @ 4.81% ( 1-4 @ 3.85% ( 0-4 @ 2.75% ( 2-4 @ 2.69% ( 1-5 @ 1.72% ( 3-4 @ 1.25% ( 0-5 @ 1.23% ( 2-5 @ 1.2% ( Other @ 3.42% Total : 56.46% |