Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 52.73%. A win for NAC Breda had a probability of 24.34% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest NAC Breda win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that RKC Waalwijk would win this match.