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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RKC Waalwijk win with a probability of 46.49%. A win for Fortuna Sittard had a probability of 29.99% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a RKC Waalwijk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.02%) and 2-0 (6.91%). The likeliest Fortuna Sittard win was 1-2 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 46.49% | 23.53% ( | 29.99% ( |
| Both teams to score 60.75% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.21% | 40.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 36.82% | 63.18% ( |
| RKC Waalwijk Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.18% ( | 17.82% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.45% ( | 48.55% ( |
| Fortuna Sittard Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.92% | 26.08% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 38.87% | 61.13% |
| Score Analysis |
| RKC Waalwijk | Draw | Fortuna Sittard |
| 2-1 @ 9.29% 1-0 @ 8.02% 2-0 @ 6.91% 3-1 @ 5.34% 3-0 @ 3.98% 3-2 @ 3.59% 4-1 @ 2.3% 4-0 @ 1.72% 4-2 @ 1.55% Other @ 3.79% Total : 46.49% | 1-1 @ 10.77% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 4.65% 3-3 @ 1.61% ( Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.53% | 1-2 @ 7.24% 0-1 @ 6.25% 0-2 @ 4.2% ( 1-3 @ 3.24% 2-3 @ 2.8% 0-3 @ 1.88% 1-4 @ 1.09% 2-4 @ 0.94% Other @ 2.36% Total : 29.99% |