MX23RW : Tuesday, March 18 03:33:57| >> :600:180013:180013:
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Europa League
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 13, 2025 at 5.45pm UK
Deutsche Bank Park (Frankfurt am Main)
Ajax

Frankfurt
4 - 1
Ajax

Bahoya (7'), Gotze (25', 82'), Ekitike (67')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Taylor (78')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Eintracht Frankfurt and Ajax, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eintracht Frankfurt

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: Frankfurt 1-2 Union Berlin
Sunday, March 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Ajax

All competitions
Europa League
Last Game: PEC Zwolle 0-1 Ajax
Sunday, March 9 at 1.30pm in Eredivisie

We said: Eintracht Frankfurt 1-1 Ajax

 After a very impressive performance in the Dutch capital last week, Frankfurt are fancied to progress, but there will be some slight concerns about carrying their poor league form over into Europe. Ajax have won 10 in a row in the Eredivisie, but after scraping through against Union SG in the last round, this may be one step too far, and their European journey will more than likely come to an end here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.

Result
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawAjax
27.44% (0.004999999999999 0) 22.6% (0.0030000000000001 0) 49.96% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Both teams to score 62.18% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.92% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)38.09% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.65% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)60.35% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Eintracht Frankfurt Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)26.41% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.43% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)61.57% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)15.51% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.59% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)44.41% (0.014000000000003 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Eintracht Frankfurt 27.44%
    Ajax 49.96%
    Draw 22.6%
Eintracht FrankfurtDrawAjax
2-1 @ 6.77% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-0 @ 5.45% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 3.63% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-1 @ 3%
3-2 @ 2.8% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-0 @ 1.61%
4-1 @ 1%
4-2 @ 0.93%
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 27.44%
1-1 @ 10.16%
2-2 @ 6.31% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.1% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.6%
1-2 @ 9.47%
0-1 @ 7.63% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.11% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 5.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 4.42% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.92% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 2.74% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-4 @ 2.06% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.83% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-5 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.87%
Total : 49.96%

How you voted: Frankfurt vs Ajax

Eintracht Frankfurt
57.3%
Draw
13.4%
Ajax
29.3%
157
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2025 8pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
Ajax
1-2
Frankfurt
Brobbey (10')
Traore (68'), Henderson (90')
Larsson (27'), Skhiri (70')
Skhiri (34'), Collins (38')
> Preview
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