Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 49.96%. A win for Eintracht Frankfurt had a probability of 27.44% and a draw had a probability of 22.6%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.63%) and 0-2 (7.11%). The likeliest Eintracht Frankfurt win was 2-1 (6.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.16%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.