/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fajalog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F10%2Fazlog.png)
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Kenneth Taylor
22'
-
Anton Gaaei
58'
-
Anton Gaaei
74'
-
Oliver Valaker Edvardsen
85'
-
Alexandre Penetra
32'
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Zico Buurmeester
52'
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Kristijan Belic
54'
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Jordy Clasie
58'
-
Alexandre Penetra
74'
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Ibrahim Sadiq
83'
Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F25%2F10%2Ffrancesco-farioli.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 54.32%. A win for AZ Alkmaar had a probability of 23.69% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.99%). The likeliest AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 (6.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result
Ajax
54.32%
▼
(-0.26)
Draw
21.99%
▲
(+0.03)
AZ Alkmaar
23.69%
▲
(+0.23)
Both Teams to Score:
60.38%
▲
(+0.18)
Goals
Over 2.5
61.28%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
38.71%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 3.5
38.98%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
61.02%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 4.5
21.32%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 4.5
78.67%
▼
(-0.09)
Ajax Goals
Over 0.5
85.72%
▼
(-0.05)
Under 0.5
14.27%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 1.5
57.93%
▼
(-0.10)
Under 1.5
42.06%
▲
(+0.09)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5
70.44%
▲
(+0.24)
Under 0.5
29.56%
▼
(-0.25)
Over 1.5
34.41%
▲
(+0.30)
Under 1.5
65.58%
▼
(-0.30)
Score analysis
Ajax
54.32%
Draw
21.99%
AZ Alkmaar
23.69%
Ajax
2-1
@
9.74%
▼
(-0.02)
1-0 @ 8.21% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 54.32%
1-0 @ 8.21% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 7.99% ▼ (-0.07)
3-1 @ 6.32% ▼ (-0.02)
3-0 @ 5.19% ▼ (-0.06)
3-2 @ 3.85% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.02)
4-0 @ 2.53% ▼ (-0.03)
4-2 @ 1.88% ▲ (+0.01)
5-1 @ 1.2% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 4.33%
Total : 54.32%
Draw
1-1
@
10.01%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.99%
2-2 @ 5.94% ▲ (+0.04)
0-0 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.03)
3-3 @ 1.57% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 21.99%
AZ Alkmaar
1-2
@
6.1%
▲
(+0.05)
0-1 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 23.69%
0-1 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.13% ▲ (+0.03)
1-3 @ 2.48% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.41% ▲ (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.14%
Total : 23.69%