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Europa League | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Mar 13, 2025 at 8pm UK
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
AZ Alkmaar

Spurs
3 - 1
AZ

Odobert (26', 74'), Maddison (48')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Koopmeiners (63')
Clasie (90+5')

The Match

Match Report

Tottenham Hotspur's hopes of ending a 17-year trophy drought remain alive thanks to a 3-2 aggregate win over AZ Alkmaar in their Europa League last-16 tie.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Europa League clash between Tottenham Hotspur and AZ Alkmaar.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa League clash between Tottenham Hotspur and AZ Alkmaar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Spurs could line up for their Europa League last 16 second leg at home to AZ Alkmaar on Thursday night.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up all of Tottenham Hotspur's latest injury and suspension news ahead of Thursday's Europa League clash with AZ Alkmaar.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Spurs 2-2 Bournemouth
Sunday, March 9 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: AZ 1-0 Spurs
Thursday, March 6 at 5.45pm in Europa League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.78%) and 0-2 (5.34%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result
Tottenham HotspurDrawAZ Alkmaar
34.07% (0.030999999999999 0.03) 22.25% (0.0090000000000003 0.01) 43.67% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Both teams to score 67.54% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
67.29% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)32.71% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
45.61% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)54.39% (0.034999999999997 0.03)
Tottenham Hotspur Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.14%19.86% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.04% (0.00099999999999767 0)51.96% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
AZ Alkmaar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.27% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)15.72% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.18% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)44.81% (0.047000000000004 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Tottenham Hotspur 34.07%
    AZ Alkmaar 43.67%
    Draw 22.25%
Tottenham HotspurDrawAZ Alkmaar
2-1 @ 7.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-0 @ 5.05% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-0 @ 4.08% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.07% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 3.76%
3-0 @ 2.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.64% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.52%
4-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 34.07%
1-1 @ 9.34% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.98%
0-0 @ 3.12% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
3-3 @ 2.32% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 22.25%
1-2 @ 8.64% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 5.78% (0.0040000000000004 0)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 5.33% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-3 @ 4.31% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.3% (-0.004 -0)
1-4 @ 2.46% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-4 @ 1.99% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 1.52% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
3-4 @ 1.07% (-0.002 -0)
1-5 @ 0.91% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 43.67%

How you voted: Spurs vs AZ

Tottenham Hotspur
82.8%
Draw
8.8%
AZ Alkmaar
8.4%
296
Head to Head
Mar 6, 2025 5.45pm
Round of 16 1st Leg
AZ
1-0
Spurs
Bergvall (18' og.)
Koopmeiners (65'), Poku (68'), van Duijn (90+4')

Bentancur (62')
Oct 24, 2024 8pm
League Stage
Spurs
1-0
AZ
Richarlison (53' pen.)

Moller Wolfe (56'), Dekker (81'), Kwakman (90'), Clasie (90+1')
Moller Wolfe (85')
rhs 2.0
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