Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.78%) and 0-2 (5.34%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.