Europa League
Mar 13, 2025 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Wilson Odobert 26' goal
  • James Maddison 48' goal
  • Wilson Odobert 74' goal
  • goal Peer Koopmeiners 63'
  • yellowcard Jordy Clasie 90'+5'

Tottenham Hotspur vs AZ Alkmaar - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

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The match

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Match Preview
Predicted Lineups
Injuries & Suspensions

Form, Standings, Stats

Tottenham Hotspur

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Mar 6, 2025 5.45pm
AZ 1 - 0 Spurs

AZ Alkmaar

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Mar 6, 2025 5.45pm
AZ 1 - 0 Spurs

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Tottenham Hotspur had a probability of 34.07% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.78%) and 0-2 (5.34%). The likeliest Tottenham Hotspur win was 2-1 (7.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.34%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Tottenham Hotspur would win this match.

Result

Tottenham Hotspur 34.07% (+0.04)
Draw 22.25% (+0.01)
AZ Alkmaar 43.67% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.54% (-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5 67.29% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 32.71% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 45.61% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 54.39% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 26.82% (-0.04)
Under 4.5 73.18% (+0.04)

Tottenham Hotspur Goals

Over 0.5 80.14%
Under 0.5 19.86% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 48.04% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 51.96% (-0.01)

AZ Alkmaar Goals

Over 0.5 84.27% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 15.72% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 55.18% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 44.81% (+0.05)

Score analysis

Tottenham Hotspur 34.07%
Draw 22.25%
AZ Alkmaar 43.67%
Tottenham Hotspur
2-1 @ 7.55% (+0.01)
1-0 @ 5.05% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.08% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.07% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.76%
3-0 @ 2.2% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.64% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.52%
Other @ 4.21%
Total : 34.07%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.34% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.98%
0-0 @ 3.12% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 2.32% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 22.25%
AZ Alkmaar
1-2 @ 8.64% (-0.01)
0-1 @ 5.78% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.34% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 5.33% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 4.31% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 3.3% (-0.01)
1-4 @ 2.46% (-0.01)
2-4 @ 1.99% (-0.01)
0-4 @ 1.52% (-0.01)
3-4 @ 1.07% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 43.67%

Head to Head

Europa League
Mar 6, 2025 5.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT AFAS Stadion
  • Lucas Bergvall 18' goal
  • Peer Koopmeiners 65' yellowcard
  • Ernest Poku 68' yellowcard
  • Sem van Duijn 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Bentancur 62'
Europa League
Oct 24, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Tottenham Hotspur Stadium
  • Richarlison 53' goal
  • yellowcard David Moller Wolfe 56'
  • yellowcard Maxim Dekker 81'
  • redcard David Moller Wolfe 85'
  • yellowcard Dave Kwakman 90'
  • yellowcard Jordy Clasie 90'+1'

Build-up

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