MX23RW : Sunday, February 25 04:42:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 14
Dec 3, 2023 at 7.30pm UK
Estadio Jardines del Hipodromo
Danubio
2 - 1
La Luz
Fernandez (41' pen.), Faria (86' pen.)
Rossi (60'), Rodriguez (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Lemos (90+4')
Correa (39'), Gonzalez (73'), Paolini (83')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Danubio and La Luz.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Wanderers 3-0 Danubio
Wednesday, November 29 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: La Luz 0-1 Nacional
Thursday, November 30 at 11.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Danubio win with a probability of 43.54%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for La Luz had a probability of 27.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Danubio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.88%) and 2-1 (8.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.16%), while for a La Luz win it was 0-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Danubio would win this match.

Result
DanubioDrawLa Luz
43.54% (-0.826 -0.83) 29.05% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 27.41% (0.837 0.84)
Both teams to score 42.47% (0.52699999999999 0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
36.33% (0.399 0.4)63.67% (-0.399 -0.4)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.05% (0.283 0.28)82.95% (-0.28400000000001 -0.28)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.87% (-0.253 -0.25)29.13% (0.251 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.94% (-0.315 -0.31)65.06% (0.31399999999999 0.31)
La Luz Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.93% (0.954 0.95)40.06% (-0.95500000000001 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.29% (0.862 0.86)76.71% (-0.863 -0.86)
Score Analysis
    Danubio 43.53%
    La Luz 27.4%
    Draw 29.04%
DanubioDrawLa Luz
1-0 @ 14.39% (-0.32 -0.32)
2-0 @ 8.88% (-0.26 -0.26)
2-1 @ 8.12% (-0.023000000000001 -0.02)
3-0 @ 3.65% (-0.134 -0.13)
3-1 @ 3.34% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.53% (0.025 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.13% (-0.05 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.03% (-0.018 -0.02)
Other @ 1.48%
Total : 43.53%
1-1 @ 13.16% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 11.67% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 3.71% (0.086 0.09)
Other @ 0.5%
Total : 29.04%
0-1 @ 10.67% (0.12 0.12)
1-2 @ 6.02% (0.18 0.18)
0-2 @ 4.88% (0.179 0.18)
1-3 @ 1.84% (0.1 0.1)
0-3 @ 1.49% (0.092 0.09)
2-3 @ 1.13% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 1.37%
Total : 27.4%

Head to Head
Jun 23, 2023 11pm
Gameweek 3
La Luz
0-2
Danubio

de los Santos (29'), Machado (46'), Ancheta (55'), Hernandez (73')
Sarmiento (2', 38')
Etchebarne (62'), Rea (78'), Vera (90+3')
May 7, 2023 7pm
Gameweek 14
La Luz
3-1
Danubio
Schiappacasse (16', 77'), Quintana (82')
Romero (90+2')
rhs 2.0
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