Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 36.57%. A win for Cesena had a probability of 35.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.89%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Cesena win was 1-0 (10.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cremonese in this match.

Result
Cesena	Draw	Cremonese
35.74% ( 0)	27.69% ( -0.01)	36.57% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 48.75% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.93% (

0.02)

57.07% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.05% (

0.02)

77.95% (

-0.02)

Cesena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.56% (

0.01)

30.43% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.36% (

0.02)

66.64% (

-0.01)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.08% (

0.02)

29.92% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.97% (

0.02)

66.02% (

-0.02)

Score Analysis

Cesena 35.74%

Cremonese 36.56%

Draw 27.69%

Cesena	Draw	Cremonese
1-0 @ 10.83% 2-1 @ 7.78% ( 0) 2-0 @ 6.44% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.08% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.56% 3-2 @ 1.86% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.92% ( 0) Other @ 2.28% Total : 35.74%	1-1 @ 13.07% 0-0 @ 9.11% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.69%	0-1 @ 10.98% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.89% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.63% 1-3 @ 3.17% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.67% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.39% Total : 36.56%