Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 43.28%. A win for Mantova had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Mantova win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood.

Result
Mantova	Draw	Cremonese
29.34% ( -0.28)	27.38% ( 0.18)	43.28% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 47.96% (

-0.65)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.72% (

-0.77)

57.28% (

0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.88% (

-0.62)

78.12% (

0.61)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.01% (

-0.62)

34.99% (

0.62)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.27% (

-0.66)

71.73% (

0.66)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.76% (

-0.3)

26.23% (

0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.66% (

-0.4)

61.34% (

0.4)

Score Analysis

Mantova 29.34%

Cremonese 43.28%

Draw 27.37%

Mantova	Draw	Cremonese
1-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 6.77% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.37% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.13% Total : 29.34%	1-1 @ 12.89% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 9.18% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.53% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.77% Total : 27.37%	0-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.63% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 8.22% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.85% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.67% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.1% Total : 43.28%