Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 42.06%. A win for Juve Stabia had a probability of 30.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.47%) and 0-2 (7.98%). The likeliest Juve Stabia win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.

Result
Juve Stabia	Draw	Cremonese
30.3% ( 0.09)	27.64% ( 0.13)	42.06% ( -0.21)

Both teams to score 47.66% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.13% (

-0.42)

57.87% (

0.43)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.41% (

-0.33)

78.59% (

0.33)

Juve Stabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.42% (

-0.16)

34.58% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.7% (

-0.17)

71.3% (

0.17)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.84% (

-0.31)

27.16% (

0.31)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.45% (

-0.4)

62.56% (

0.41)

Score Analysis

Juve Stabia 30.3%

Cremonese 42.06%

Draw 27.63%

Juve Stabia	Draw	Cremonese
1-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 2.44% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.22% Total : 30.3%	1-1 @ 12.99% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.39% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 4.5% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.63%	0-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.47% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.68% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 3.47% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 1.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.94% Total : 42.06%