Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 41.92%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 30.95% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (7.75%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (9.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Brescia	Draw	Cremonese
30.95% ( -0.37)	27.13% ( 0.03)	41.92% ( 0.34)

Both teams to score 49.42% (

-0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.24% (

-0.21)

55.75% (

0.21)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.11% (

-0.17)

76.89% (

0.17)

Brescia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.01% (

-0.37)

32.99% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.42% (

-0.41)

69.57% (

0.41)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.75% (

0.09)

26.24% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.64% (

0.11)

61.35% (

-0.11)

Score Analysis

Brescia 30.95%

Cremonese 41.92%

Draw 27.12%

Brescia	Draw	Cremonese
1-0 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.12% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 5.32% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 2.63% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 1.97% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.54% Total : 30.95%	1-1 @ 12.84% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.66% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.76% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.12%	0-1 @ 11.58% ( 0.12) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 7.75% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.45% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.16% Total : 41.92%