Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 43.16%. A win for Modena had a probability of 29.34% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.59%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Modena win was 1-0 (9.73%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood.

Result
Modena	Draw	Cremonese
29.34% ( -0.22)	27.49% ( 0.01)	43.16% ( 0.21)

Both teams to score 47.64% (

-0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.32% (

-0.12)

57.68% (

0.12)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.56% (

-0.09)

78.44% (

0.09)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.8% (

-0.23)

35.2% (

0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.05% (

-0.24)

71.95% (

0.25)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.52% (

0.06)

26.48% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.33% (

0.08)

61.67% (

-0.07)

Score Analysis

Modena 29.34%

Cremonese 43.16%

Draw 27.49%

Modena	Draw	Cremonese
1-0 @ 9.73% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 6.75% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.08% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 2.35% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 1.77% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.1% Total : 29.34%	1-1 @ 12.93% 0-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.49% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.49%	0-1 @ 12.38% ( 0.08) 1-2 @ 8.59% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 3.81% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.64% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.26% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.05% Total : 43.16%