Serie B | Gameweek 9
Oct 19, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Braglia

Modena
2 - 2
Palermo

Gliozzi (48'), Caldara (85')
Santoro (25'), Di Pardo (38'), Zaro (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Verre (34'), Insigne (45+1')
Insigne (71'), Lund (89')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Modena and Palermo.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Catanzaro 2-2 Modena
Sunday, October 6 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 44.49%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 28.55% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.82%) and 2-0 (8.39%). The likeliest Palermo win was 0-1 (9.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
ModenaDrawPalermo
44.49% (-0.125 -0.13)26.96% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)28.55% (0.141 0.14)
Both teams to score 48.74% (0.11 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.93% (0.10299999999999 0.1)56.07% (-0.093999999999994 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.85% (0.082999999999998 0.08)77.15% (-0.073999999999998 -0.07)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.93% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)25.07% (0.022000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.24% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)59.76% (0.032000000000004 0.03)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.05% (0.164 0.16)34.95% (-0.157 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.31% (0.171 0.17)71.7% (-0.16300000000001 -0.16)
Score Analysis
    Modena 44.49%
    Palermo 28.55%
    Draw 26.96%
ModenaDrawPalermo
1-0 @ 12.12% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
2-1 @ 8.82% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.39% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-0 @ 3.87% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.14% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.41% (-0.002 -0)
4-0 @ 1.34% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 44.49%
1-1 @ 12.74%
0-0 @ 8.76% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 4.63% (0.017 0.02)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 26.96%
0-1 @ 9.21% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-2 @ 6.7% (0.029000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 4.84% (0.024 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.35% (0.02 0.02)
0-3 @ 1.7% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.62% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.13%
Total : 28.55%

Head to Head
Jan 20, 2024 3.15pm
Gameweek 21
Palermo
4-2
Modena
Segre (8'), Brunori (35'), Soleri (88', 90+6')
Brunori (45+2')
Battistella (31'), Abiuso (59')
Ponsi (7'), Tremolada (22'), Pergreffi (38'), Strizzolo (76'), Abiuso (84')
Oct 7, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 9
Modena
0-2
Palermo

Manconi (54'), Duca (69')
Oukhadda (23')
Henderson (47'), Mancuso (90+3')
Lucioni (44'), Coulibaly (60'), Di Francesco (69')
Mar 17, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 30
Palermo
5-2
Modena
Tutino (25'), Soleri (47'), Verre (56'), Aurelio (59'), Vido (79' pen.)
Strizzolo (4', 30')
Oct 29, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 11
Modena
0-2
Palermo
Brunori (9' pen.), Valente (45+2')
Aug 23, 2014 7.45pm
Round Three
Palermo
0-3
Modena

Barreto (51')
Ferrari (6'), Beltrame (42'), Schiavone (88')
Ferrari (30')