Serie B | Gameweek 8
Oct 6, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Nicola Ceravolo

Catanzaro
2 - 2
Modena

Situm (25'), La Mantia (89')
Bonini (48'), Pittarello (90+7')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Abiuso (34'), Idrissi (56')
Idrissi (64'), Dellavalle (73')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Catanzaro and Modena.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 0-0 Catanzaro
Sunday, September 29 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Modena 1-3 Sampdoria
Sunday, September 29 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 40.8%. A win for Modena had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.46%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (9.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
CatanzaroDrawModena
40.8% (0.056000000000004 0.06)27.13% (-0.176 -0.18)32.07% (0.125 0.12)
Both teams to score 49.8% (0.572 0.57)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.54% (0.705 0.7)55.46% (-0.70099999999999 -0.7)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.35% (0.576 0.58)76.65% (-0.57299999999999 -0.57)
Catanzaro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.29% (0.361 0.36)26.71% (-0.358 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.03% (0.471 0.47)61.97% (-0.46899999999999 -0.47)
Modena Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.95% (0.449 0.45)32.05% (-0.445 -0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.48% (0.506 0.51)68.52% (-0.502 -0.5)
Score Analysis
    Catanzaro 40.8%
    Modena 32.07%
    Draw 27.13%
CatanzaroDrawModena
1-0 @ 11.3% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.49% (0.045 0.04)
2-0 @ 7.46% (-0.051 -0.05)
3-1 @ 3.74% (0.057 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.28% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.13% (0.058 0.06)
4-1 @ 1.23% (0.031 0.03)
4-0 @ 1.08% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 40.8%
1-1 @ 12.85% (-0.07 -0.07)
0-0 @ 8.56% (-0.235 -0.24)
2-2 @ 4.83% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 27.13%
0-1 @ 9.74% (-0.146 -0.15)
1-2 @ 7.32% (0.054 0.05)
0-2 @ 5.54% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.78% (0.054 0.05)
0-3 @ 2.1% (0.02 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.83% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 32.07%

Head to Head
Apr 12, 2024 7.30pm
Gameweek 33
Modena
1-3
Catanzaro
Tremolada (34')
Zaro (21'), Tremolada (44'), Battistella (83')
Iemmello (16', 68'), Vandeputte (25')
Scognamillo (70')
Nov 4, 2023 1pm
Gameweek 12
Catanzaro
1-2
Modena
Vandeputte (19')
Scognamillo (86'), Brighenti (90')
Manconi (27'), Bozhanaj (90+5')
Manconi (4'), Ponsi (15'), Palumbo (59'), Bozhanaj (79')
Jul 31, 2022 7.30pm
Preliminary Round
Modena
3-1
Catanzaro
Silvestri (2'), Diaw (45+1'), Magnino (74')
Ciofani (27'), Azzi (47')
Tentardini (59')
Gatti (80')