Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 37.79%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 28.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.88%) and 2-0 (7.1%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (11.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result
Modena	Draw	Sampdoria
37.79% ( -0.38)	28.35% ( 0.05)	33.87% ( 0.33)

Both teams to score 46.63% (

-0.09)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

40.37% (

-0.13)

59.62% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

20.05% (

-0.1)

79.95% (

0.1)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69.55% (

-0.29)

30.44% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.35% (

-0.35)

66.65% (

0.35)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.04% (

0.15)

32.96% (

-0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.46% (

0.17)

69.54% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Modena 37.78%

Sampdoria 33.86%

Draw 28.34%

Modena	Draw	Sampdoria
1-0 @ 11.93% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 7.88% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.1% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.12% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.81% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.73% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 0.93% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.29% Total : 37.78%	1-1 @ 13.24% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.7% Total : 28.34%	0-1 @ 11.13% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 7.35% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 6.18% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 2.72% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.04) 2-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 2.58% Total : 33.86%