Sampdoria logo
Serie B | Gameweek 10
Oct 27, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris

Sampdoria
1 - 0
Mantova

Kasami (61')
Venuti (18'), Pio Riccio (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Redolfi (8'), Burrai (58'), Bani (88'), Galuppini (88'), Aramu (90')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Sampdoria and Mantova.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sampdoria

All competitions
Serie B
Last Game: Cesena 3-5 Sampdoria
Sunday, October 20 at 4.15pm in Serie B

Mantova

All competitions
Last Game: Carrarese 1-1 Mantova
Sunday, October 20 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sampdoria win with a probability of 47.11%. A win for Mantova had a probability of 27.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sampdoria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.21%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Mantova win was 0-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Sampdoria in this match.

Result
SampdoriaDrawMantova
47.11% (-0.749 -0.75)25.88% (-0.132 -0.13)27.01% (0.877 0.88)
Both teams to score 50.91% (1.083 1.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.24% (1.074 1.07)52.76% (-1.076 -1.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.61% (0.908 0.91)74.39% (-0.913 -0.91)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.61% (0.114 0.11)22.39% (-0.118 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.1% (0.172 0.17)55.89% (-0.176 -0.18)
Mantova Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.59% (1.298 1.3)34.4% (-1.302 -1.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.89% (1.362 1.36)71.11% (-1.366 -1.37)
Score Analysis
    Sampdoria 47.1%
    Mantova 27.01%
    Draw 25.88%
SampdoriaDrawMantova
1-0 @ 11.52% (-0.46 -0.46)
2-1 @ 9.21% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-0 @ 8.63% (-0.311 -0.31)
3-1 @ 4.59% (0.016 0.02)
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.139 -0.14)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.094 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.72% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 1.61% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-2 @ 0.92% (0.038 0.04)
Other @ 2.16%
Total : 47.1%
1-1 @ 12.3% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.7% (-0.333 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.171 0.17)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.88%
0-1 @ 8.22% (-0.057 -0.06)
1-2 @ 6.56% (0.206 0.21)
0-2 @ 4.38% (0.123 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.33% (0.152 0.15)
2-3 @ 1.75% (0.12 0.12)
0-3 @ 1.56% (0.096 0.1)
Other @ 2.21%
Total : 27.01%