-
Nunzio Lella
30'
-
Nunzio Lella
31'
-
Raffaele Pucino
33'
-
Francesco Vicari
36'
-
Valerio Mantovani
89'
-
Matteo Solini
42'
-
Francesco Galuppini
45'
-
Simone Trimboli
81'
Bari vs Mantova - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 44.88%. A win for Mantova had a probability of 27.84% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Mantova win was 0-1 (9.4%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bari would win this match.
Result
Bari
44.88%
▲
(+0.22)
Draw
27.28%
▼
(-0.06)
Mantova
27.84%
▼
(-0.17)
Both Teams to Score:
47.41%
▲
(+0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5
42.43%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 2.5
57.56%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 3.5
21.65%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
78.34%
▼
(-0.10)
Over 4.5
9.3%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 4.5
90.69%
▼
(-0.06)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5
74.45%
▲
(+0.16)
Under 0.5
25.55%
▼
(-0.17)
Over 1.5
39.59%
▲
(+0.22)
Under 1.5
60.41%
▼
(-0.22)
Mantova Goals
Over 0.5
63.68%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 0.5
36.32%
▲
(+0.07)
Over 1.5
26.89%
▼
(-0.08)
Under 1.5
73.1%
▲
(+0.07)
Score analysis
Bari
44.88%
Draw
27.27%
Mantova
27.84%
Bari
1-0
@
12.66%
2-1 @ 8.75% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 44.88%
2-1 @ 8.75% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 8.64% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 3.98% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 3.93% ▲ (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.02% ▲ (+0.02)
4-1 @ 1.36% ▲ (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.34% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 44.88%
Draw
1-1
@
12.82%
▼
(-0.02)
0-0 @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.27%
0-0 @ 9.28% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 4.43% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 27.27%
Mantova
0-1
@
9.4%
▼
(-0.06)
1-2 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 27.84%
1-2 @ 6.49% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.76% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.19% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.61% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.5% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 1.89%
Total : 27.84%