Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mantova win with a probability of 46.06%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 27.42% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Mantova win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (8.64%). The likeliest Brescia win was 0-1 (8.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.6% likelihood.

Result
Mantova	Draw	Brescia
46.06% ( 0.19)	26.52% ( -0.1)	27.42% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 49.3% (

0.21)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45% (

0.31)

55% (

-0.31)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.73% (

0.25)

76.27% (

-0.25)

Mantova Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.16% (

0.22)

23.84% (

-0.22)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

41.98% (

0.32)

58.01% (

-0.32)

Brescia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.72% (

0.09)

35.27% (

-0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.97% (

0.09)

72.03% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Mantova 46.05%

Brescia 27.42%

Draw 26.52%

Mantova	Draw	Brescia
1-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.07) 2-1 @ 9.01% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 4.31% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.48% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.64% Total : 46.05%	1-1 @ 12.56% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.41% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.86% Total : 26.52%	0-1 @ 8.76% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 6.55% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.57% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.06% Total : 27.42%