Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 49.97%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 23.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.96%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.41%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 1-0 (8.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cremonese would win this match.

Result
Sudtirol	Draw	Cremonese
23.49% ( 0.36)	26.54% ( 0.32)	49.97% ( -0.68)

Both teams to score 45.92% (

-0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.31% (

-0.86)

57.69% (

0.86)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.55% (

-0.69)

78.44% (

0.68)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.78% (

-0.15)

40.21% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.15% (

-0.13)

76.85% (

0.13)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.81% (

-0.67)

23.19% (

0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.92% (

-0.99)

57.07% (

0.98)

Score Analysis

Sudtirol 23.49%

Cremonese 49.96%

Draw 26.53%

Sudtirol	Draw	Cremonese
1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 5.65% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 3.87% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 1.72% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.18% ( 0.03) Other @ 1.33% Total : 23.49%	1-1 @ 12.41% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 9.32% ( 0.3) 2-2 @ 4.13% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.67% Total : 26.53%	0-1 @ 13.62% ( 0.17) 0-2 @ 9.96% ( -0.06) 1-2 @ 9.07% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 4.85% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 4.42% ( -0.14) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0.07) 0-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.08) 1-4 @ 1.62% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.64% Total : 49.96%