Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 53.88%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 19.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.71%) and 2-1 (8.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.03%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (8.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Sudtirol
53.88% ( -0.7)	26.9% ( 0.19)	19.22% ( 0.51)

Both teams to score 40.03% (

0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.38% (

-0.06)

62.62% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.81% (

-0.04)

82.19% (

0.04)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.42% (

-0.33)

23.57% (

0.33)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.36% (

-0.48)

57.64% (

0.48)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

52.38% (

0.57)

47.61% (

-0.57)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

17.05% (

0.42)

82.94% (

-0.42)

Score Analysis

Spezia 53.86%

Sudtirol 19.22%

Draw 26.89%

Spezia	Draw	Sudtirol
1-0 @ 16.21% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 11.71% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.7% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.65% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 2.04% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.31% Total : 53.86%	1-1 @ 12.03% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 11.22% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.41% Total : 26.89%	0-1 @ 8.33% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.11) 0-2 @ 3.09% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 1.11% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.23% Total : 19.22%