Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 55.5%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Reggiana had a probability of 19.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.69%), while for a Reggiana win it was 0-1 (7.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Spezia in this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Reggiana
55.5% ( -0.09)	24.99% ( 0.05)	19.5% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 45.18% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.95% (

-0.14)

56.05% (

0.14)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.87% (

-0.12)

77.13% (

0.11)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.83% (

-0.09)

20.17% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.54% (

-0.15)

52.46% (

0.15)

Reggiana Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

56.59% (

-0.04)

43.41% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

20.37% (

-0.03)

79.63% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Spezia 55.5%

Reggiana 19.5%

Draw 24.98%

Spezia	Draw	Reggiana
1-0 @ 14.01% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 11.22% 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.99% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.44% Total : 55.5%	1-1 @ 11.69% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.63% Total : 24.98%	0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.88% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.36% 2-3 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 1.82% Total : 19.5%