Serie B | Gameweek 5
Sep 15, 2024 at 2pm UK
MAPEI Stadium - Citta del Tricolore

Reggiana
1 - 3
Sudtirol

Portanova (31')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Molina (7'), Arrigoni (40'), Praszelik (78')
Giorgini (45+3'), Martini (88')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Reggiana and Sudtirol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pisa 2-1 Reggiana
Saturday, August 31 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: Sudtirol 1-2 Brescia
Saturday, August 31 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggiana win with a probability of 47.31%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 24.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reggiana win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 2-1 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.81%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (9.57%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood.

Result
ReggianaDrawSudtirol
47.31% (0.115 0.12)27.97% (-0.029999999999998 -0.03)24.73% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)
Both teams to score 43.34% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.38% (0.047999999999995 0.05)61.62% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.55% (0.036000000000001 0.04)81.45% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)
Reggiana Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.81% (0.078000000000003 0.08)26.19% (-0.074999999999999 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.72% (0.105 0.1)61.28% (-0.102 -0.1)
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.72% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)41.28% (0.052 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.19% (-0.044 -0.04)77.81% (0.048000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Reggiana 47.3%
    Sudtirol 24.73%
    Draw 27.96%
ReggianaDrawSudtirol
1-0 @ 14.48% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 9.7% (0.026 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.59% (0.011000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.33% (0.021 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.83% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.7% (0.004 0)
4-0 @ 1.45% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.28% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 1.93%
Total : 47.3%
1-1 @ 12.81% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 10.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 3.8%
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 27.96%
0-1 @ 9.57% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-2 @ 5.67% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-2 @ 4.23% (-0.019 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.67% (-0.006 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.25% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.22%
Total : 24.73%

Head to Head
Feb 27, 2024 5.15pm
Gameweek 27
Reggiana
1-1
Sudtirol
Pieragnolo (63')
Portanova (22'), Pieragnolo (90+5')
Odogwu (72')
Arrigoni (36'), Mallamo (68')
Dec 23, 2023 3.15pm
Gameweek 18
Sudtirol
2-3
Reggiana
Masiello (28'), Casiraghi (81' pen.)
Masiello (10'), Casiraghi (61'), Cisco (86')
Bianco (2'), Girma (52'), Gondo (77')
Kabashi (32'), Bianco (36'), Bardi (90')
Cigarini (53')