Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 54.14%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Frosinone had a probability of 21.91%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.79%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Frosinone win it was 0-1 (6.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result
Spezia	Draw	Frosinone
54.14% ( -0.06)	23.95% ( 0.05)	21.91% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 51.55% (

-0.14)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.66% (

-0.19)

49.33% (

0.19)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.61% (

-0.17)

71.38% (

0.17)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.87% (

-0.1)

18.12% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.91% (

-0.16)

49.08% (

0.16)

Frosinone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.96% (

-0.1)

37.03% (

0.09)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.18% (

-0.09)

73.81% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Spezia 54.13%

Frosinone 21.91%

Draw 23.94%

Spezia	Draw	Frosinone
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.79% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.72% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 5.57% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.75% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.38% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.39% Total : 54.13%	1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.83% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 23.94%	0-1 @ 6.67% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 5.66% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.7% Total : 21.91%