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Serie B | Gameweek 6
Sep 22, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco

Spezia
4 - 2
Carrarese

Pio Esposito (25', 62'), Esposito (49' pen.), Hristov (83')
Hristov (19'), Esposito (27'), Reca (42')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cerri (6'), Oliana (75')
Giovane (23'), Cerri (29'), Bouah (65'), Oliana (72')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Spezia and Carrarese.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Serie B
Last Game: Cremonese 1-1 Spezia
Saturday, September 14 at 2pm in Serie B

Carrarese

All competitions
Serie B
Last Game: Carrarese 0-2 Sassuolo
Sunday, September 15 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Carrarese had a probability of 19.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Carrarese win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawCarrarese
55.94% (0.050000000000004 0.05)24.88% (0.165 0.16)19.18% (-0.218 -0.22)
Both teams to score 44.99% (-0.772 -0.77)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.98% (-0.849 -0.85)56.02% (0.849 0.85)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.89% (-0.694 -0.69)77.11% (0.693 0.69)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.01% (-0.31100000000001 -0.31)19.99% (0.31 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.83% (-0.504 -0.5)52.17% (0.504 0.5)
Carrarese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.23% (-0.744 -0.74)43.77% (0.744 0.74)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.07% (-0.619 -0.62)79.93% (0.619 0.62)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 55.93%
    Carrarese 19.18%
    Draw 24.87%
SpeziaDrawCarrarese
1-0 @ 14.08% (0.32 0.32)
2-0 @ 11.33% (0.15 0.15)
2-1 @ 9.37% (-0.067 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.09% (0.022 0.02)
3-1 @ 5.03% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.45% (-0.015 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.08% (-0.078 -0.08)
4-1 @ 2.02% (-0.054 -0.05)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 55.93%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.75% (0.282 0.28)
2-2 @ 3.87% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 24.87%
0-1 @ 7.23% (0.088 0.09)
1-2 @ 4.81% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.024 -0.02)
1-3 @ 1.33% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.07% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 19.18%