/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fspecallog_1.png)
-
Petko Hristov
19'
-
Francesco Pio Esposito
25'
-
Salvatore Esposito
27'
-
Arkadiusz Reca
42'
-
Salvatore Esposito
49'
-
Francesco Pio Esposito
62'
-
Petko Hristov
83'
-
Leonardo Cerri
6'
-
Samuel Giovane
23'
-
Leonardo Cerri
29'
-
Devid Bouah
65'
-
Filippo Oliana
72'
-
Filippo Oliana
75'
Spezia vs Carrarese - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Spezia win with a probability of 55.94%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Carrarese had a probability of 19.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Spezia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.33%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.63%), while for a Carrarese win it was 0-1 (7.23%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Spezia would win this match.
Result
Spezia
55.94%
▲
(+0.06)
Draw
24.88%
▲
(+0.17)
Carrarese
19.18%
▼
(-0.22)
Both Teams to Score:
44.99%
▼
(-0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5
43.98%
▼
(-0.85)
Under 2.5
56.02%
▲
(+0.85)
Over 3.5
22.89%
▼
(-0.70)
Under 3.5
77.11%
▲
(+0.70)
Over 4.5
10.05%
▼
(-0.43)
Under 4.5
89.95%
▲
(+0.43)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5
80.01%
▼
(-0.32)
Under 0.5
19.99%
▲
(+0.31)
Over 1.5
47.83%
▼
(-0.51)
Under 1.5
52.17%
▲
(+0.51)
Carrarese Goals
Over 0.5
56.23%
▼
(-0.75)
Under 0.5
43.77%
▲
(+0.75)
Over 1.5
20.07%
▼
(-0.62)
Under 1.5
79.93%
▲
(+0.62)
Score analysis
Spezia
55.93%
Draw
24.87%
Carrarese
19.18%
Spezia
1-0
@
14.08%
▲
(+0.33)
2-0 @ 11.33% ▲ (+0.16)
2-1 @ 9.37% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.09)
4-0 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 55.93%
2-0 @ 11.33% ▲ (+0.16)
2-1 @ 9.37% ▼ (-0.07)
3-0 @ 6.09% ▲ (+0.03)
3-1 @ 5.03% ▼ (-0.09)
4-0 @ 2.45% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.08% ▼ (-0.08)
4-1 @ 2.02% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 55.93%
Draw
1-1
@
11.63%
▲
(+0.04)
0-0 @ 8.75% ▲ (+0.29)
2-2 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 24.87%
0-0 @ 8.75% ▲ (+0.29)
2-2 @ 3.87% ▼ (-0.11)
Other @ 0.62%
Total : 24.87%
Carrarese
0-1
@
7.23%
▲
(+0.09)
1-2 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 19.18%
1-2 @ 4.81% ▼ (-0.09)
0-2 @ 2.99% ▼ (-0.03)
1-3 @ 1.33% ▼ (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 19.18%