Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cremonese win with a probability of 46.4%. A draw had a probability of 27.8% and a win for Cittadella had a probability of 25.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cremonese win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.32%) and 1-2 (8.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.85%), while for a Cittadella win it was 1-0 (9.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.3% likelihood.