Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juve Stabia win with a probability of 40.52%. A win for Cesena had a probability of 31.66% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juve Stabia win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.3%) and 2-0 (7.63%). The likeliest Cesena win was 0-1 (10.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juve Stabia in this match.

Result
Juve Stabia	Draw	Cesena
40.52% ( -0.31)	27.82% ( 0.12)	31.66% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 47.64% (

-0.27)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

41.87% (

-0.37)

58.14% (

0.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.21% (

-0.29)

78.8% (

0.3)

Juve Stabia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.88% (

-0.35)

28.12% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.2% (

-0.45)

63.8% (

0.46)

Cesena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.28% (

-0.05)

33.72% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.62% (

-0.06)

70.38% (

0.06)

Score Analysis

Juve Stabia 40.52%

Cesena 31.65%

Draw 27.82%

Juve Stabia	Draw	Cesena
1-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.63% ( -0.04) 3-1 @ 3.51% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.23% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.79% Total : 40.52%	1-1 @ 13.07% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 9.48% ( 0.14) 2-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.75% Total : 27.82%	0-1 @ 10.3% ( 0.13) 1-2 @ 7.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.6% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.58% 0-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.63% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.4% Total : 31.65%