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Attendance: 11,209
Millwall logo
Championship | Gameweek 35
Feb 26, 2020 at 7.45pm UK
 
Birmingham logo

0-0

FT

Preview: Millwall vs. Birmingham City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews the Championship clash between Millwall and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Millwall host Birmingham City at The Den on Wednesday as both clubs look to consolidate in mid-table and make a late charge towards the playoff places.

The pair sit 11th and 14th in the Championship table, respectively, and have a sizeable cushion between themselves and the relegation zone, but also have plenty of ground to make up on the top six.


Match preview

Birmingham City players celebrate after Bristol City's Andreas Weimann scored an own goal and the second goal for Birmingham City on February 7, 2020© Reuters

Millwall's excellent form between November and mid-January saw them surge into playoff contention, but their momentum has recently given way to a poor patch.

Gary Rowett's side have won just once in their last seven games across all competitions - one in six in the league - and have slipped seven points off the playoff places.

The reverse fixture at St. Andrew's in November saw the points shared after a 1-1 draw, but Millwall need wins if they are to close the gap that is starting to open up.

Millwall's last outing saw them beaten 1-0 by Wigan Athletic, who are in the relegation zone, in a damaging defeat that was indicative of the low confidence in Rowett's squad at present.

Birmingham, on the other hand, are flying at the moment. The Blues find themselves unbeaten in 11 games across all competitions, with eight of those games coming in the Championship.

Rowett's former employers are now managed by Pep Clotet, who has instilled an attractive brand of football that has seen Birmingham score in 11 consecutive league games.

However, they have managed just one clean sheet in that run and have recorded only six across all competitions so far this term.

Their last outing - a six-goal thriller that ended in a 3-3 draw against Sheffield Wednesday - encapsulates their philosophy this season under the Spaniard.

Millwall Championship form: LDLDWL

Birmingham City Championship form: DWWWDD
Birmingham City form (all competitions): WWWWDD


Team News

Millwall boss Gary Rowett on February 15, 2020© Reuters

Millwall manager Rowett has just a trio of players unavailable for selection ahead of Birmingham's visit to The Den.

Shaun Williams, Frank Fielding and Ben Thompson are all sidelined with injury and are not expected back for some time.

Birmingham head coach Clotet has the same number of players missing as he prepares his squad for a trip to London.

Josh McEachran is out for the rest of the campaign after sustaining an ACL injury and is aiming to return in November.

Meanwhile, Kerim Mrabti and Jacques Maghoma are both out, but should be returning within the next few weeks.

Millwall possible starting lineup:
Bialkowski; Hutchinson, Pearce, Cooper; Romeo, Molumby, Woods, M. Wallace; J. Wallace, Bradshaw, Bodvarsson

Birmingham City possible starting lineup:
Camp; Colin, Roberts, Clarke-Salter, Pedersen; Bela, Gardner, Sunjic, Bellingham; Hogan, Jutkiewicz


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Millwall 0-1 Birmingham City

Millwall are strong at home, but Birmingham seem to have clicked under Clotet and could further extend their unbeaten run in London with a narrow victory.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 44.3%. A win for had a probability of 29.01% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.87%) and 2-0 (8.21%). The likeliest win was 0-1 (9.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.65%).


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Millwall boss Gary Rowett on February 15, 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CLeicester CityLeicester463141189414897
3Leeds UnitedLeeds462791081433890
4Southampton462691187632487
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom4621121370472375
6Norwich CityNorwich4621101579641573
7Hull City461913146860870
8Middlesbrough46209177162969
9Coventry CityCoventry4617131670591164
10Preston North EndPreston46189195667-1163
11Bristol City461711185351262
12Cardiff CityCardiff46195225370-1762
13Millwall461611194555-1059
14Swansea CitySwansea461512195965-657
15Watford461317166161056
16Sunderland46168225254-256
17Stoke CityStoke461511204960-1156
18Queens Park RangersQPR461511204758-1156
19Blackburn RoversBlackburn461411216074-1453
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds46158234468-2453
21Plymouth ArgylePlymouth461312215970-1151
RBirmingham CityBirmingham461311225065-1550
RHuddersfield TownHuddersfield46918194877-2945
RRotherham UnitedRotherham46512293789-5227


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