Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 25

Mar 9, 2024 at 5.30pm UK

Weserstadion

Werder Bremen
1 - 2
Dortmund

Njinmah (70')
Schmid (77')

FT(HT: 0-2)

Malen (21'), Sancho (38')
Schlotterbeck (78'), Adeyemi (90+5')
Sabitzer (45+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Werder Bremen and Borussia Dortmund, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Werder Bremen

All competitions

Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-1 Werder Bremen
Sunday, March 3 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Union Berlin 0-2 Dortmund
Saturday, March 2 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Werder Bremen 1-2 Borussia Dortmund

Prior to their 1-0 win in the reverse fixture, Dortmund had scored at least two or more goals in each of their previous 11 meetings with Bremen, so they should be confident of breaching their backline once again on Saturday. Bremen cannot be taken lightly by BVB, though, as they have taken points from the likes of Bayern Munich and RB Leipzig this season, but we believe that the visitors will find a way to come out on top to boost their top-four hopes. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 52%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 26.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (6.81%) and 0-1 (6.8%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 2-1 (6.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Borussia Dortmund in this match.

Result
Werder Bremen	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
26.36% ( -0)	21.63% ( 0)	52% ( -0)

Both teams to score 64.74% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

65.7% (

-0.01)

34.29% (

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

43.8% (

-0.01)

56.2% (

Werder Bremen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.83% (

-0)

25.16% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.11% (

-0.01)

59.88% (

0.01)

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.52% (

-0)

13.48% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.5% (

-0)

40.5% (

Score Analysis

Werder Bremen 26.36%

Borussia Dortmund 52%

Draw 21.63%

Werder Bremen	Draw	Borussia Dortmund
2-1 @ 6.47% 1-0 @ 4.68% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.23% 3-2 @ 2.98% 3-1 @ 2.98% 3-0 @ 1.49% 4-2 @ 1.03% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.49% Total : 26.36%	1-1 @ 9.38% ( 0) 2-2 @ 6.48% 0-0 @ 3.39% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.99% Other @ 0.39% Total : 21.63%	1-2 @ 9.4% 0-2 @ 6.81% 0-1 @ 6.8% ( 0) 1-3 @ 6.28% 0-3 @ 4.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 4.33% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.15% 0-4 @ 2.28% 2-4 @ 2.17% ( -0) 1-5 @ 1.26% 3-4 @ 1% 0-5 @ 0.91% Other @ 3.07% Total : 52%